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KRC Harelbeke vs K. Lyra-Lierse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KRC Harelbeke host K. Lyra-Lierse in the National Division 1 - VV. K. Lyra-Lierse go into this one as the clear favorite. K. Lyra-Lierse have shipped 1.8 goals a game lately, while KRC Harelbeke have conceded 1.76 and scored 1.48. Head-to-head, KRC Harelbeke have won 1 to K. Lyra-Lierse's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 16, 2005, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back K. Lyra-Lierse to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
KRC Harelbeke
15%
Draws
36%
K. Lyra-Lierse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KRC Harelbeke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • KRC Harelbeke have won more games recently than K. Lyra-Lierse.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
KRC Harelbeke Clean Sheet 20%
K. Lyra-Lierse Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KRC Harelbeke K. Lyra-Lierse
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.48 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2005 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
K. Lyra-Lierse vs KRC Harelbeke
1:1
Sep 11, 2004 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
KRC Harelbeke vs K. Lyra-Lierse
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KRC Harelbeke 36 / 100
K. Lyra-Lierse 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KRC Harelbeke K. Lyra-Lierse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick K. Lyra-Lierse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KRC Harelbeke found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: K. Lyra-Lierse conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

K. Lyra-Lierse lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KRC Harelbeke VS K. Lyra-Lierse
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KRC Harelbeke

(Home)
18 Oct
Leuven B
4 : 1
KRC Harelbeke
11 Oct
KRC Harelbeke
1 : 0
Thes Sport
03 Oct
Dessel
4 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
30 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
3 : 3
Hoogstraten
20 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
Page 1 of 7

K. Lyra-Lierse

(Away)
17 Oct
K. Lyra-Lierse
0 : 1
Houtvenne
11 Oct
Cercle Brugge 2
2 : 1
K. Lyra-Lierse
03 Oct
K. Lyra-Lierse
0 : 3
SK Roeselare
27 Sept
Leuven B
3 : 1
K. Lyra-Lierse
19 Sept
K. Lyra-Lierse
3 : 2
Heist
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Houtvenne 8 7 0 1 20:8 21
2 Mandel United 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
3 Leuven B 8 5 1 2 19:14 16
4 SK Roeselare 8 4 3 1 12:4 15
5 Merelbeke 8 4 2 2 13:7 14
6 Belisia Bilzen 8 3 2 3 16:15 11
7 Heist 8 3 2 3 13:12 11
8 Dessel 8 3 2 3 16:17 11
9 Knokke 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
10 Hoogstraten 8 2 4 2 19:15 10
11 Thes Sport 8 2 4 2 12:11 10
12 Tienen 8 2 3 3 14:14 9
13 Cercle Brugge 2 8 2 2 4 11:17 8
14 K. Lyra-Lierse 8 1 3 4 13:19 6
15 KRC Harelbeke 8 1 1 6 6:23 4
16 Zelzate 8 0 3 5 7:19 3
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