Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KRC Harelbeke vs Tienen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Ceulemans S.
54' Event
Boulhassane S.
65' Event
Boulhassane S.

AI Match Summary

Tienen in this National Division 1 - VV matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tienen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
KRC Harelbeke
30%
Draws
62%
Tienen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tienen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tienen lately — more wins on the board than KRC Harelbeke.
  • Tienen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
KRC Harelbeke Clean Sheet 13%
Tienen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KRC Harelbeke Tienen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
KRC Harelbeke vs Tienen
0:4
Aug 9, 2015 Belgian Cup
KRC Harelbeke vs Tienen
0:1
Apr 11, 2004 Challenger Pro League
Tienen vs KRC Harelbeke
1:2
Nov 29, 2003 Challenger Pro League
KRC Harelbeke vs Tienen
0:2
Apr 26, 2003 Challenger Pro League
KRC Harelbeke vs Tienen
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KRC Harelbeke Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Tienen Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceulemans S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Boulhassane S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KRC Harelbeke 10 / 100
Tienen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KRC Harelbeke Tienen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tienen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KRC Harelbeke found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Tienen let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

KRC Harelbeke has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KRC Harelbeke VS Tienen
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KRC Harelbeke

(Home)
03 Oct
Dessel
4 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
30 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
3 : 3
Hoogstraten
20 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
13 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
0 : 4
Tienen
05 Sept
Heist
2 : 1
KRC Harelbeke
Page 1 of 6

Tienen

(Away)
04 Oct
Tienen
0 : 0
Merelbeke
27 Sept
Cercle Brugge 2
1 : 3
Tienen
20 Sept
Tienen
1 : 1
SK Roeselare
13 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
0 : 4
Tienen
06 Sept
Leuven B
2 : 1
Tienen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Houtvenne 6 5 0 1 17:8 15
2 Leuven B 6 4 0 2 15:13 12
3 SK Roeselare 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
4 Merelbeke 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
5 Dessel 6 3 2 1 13:11 11
6 Mandel United 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
7 Knokke 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
8 Thes Sport 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
9 Tienen 6 2 2 2 12:8 8
10 Belisia Bilzen 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
11 Heist 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
12 Hoogstraten 6 1 3 2 14:13 6
13 K. Lyra-Lierse 6 1 3 2 12:16 6
14 Cercle Brugge 2 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
15 Zelzate 6 0 3 3 5:12 3
16 KRC Harelbeke 6 0 1 5 4:19 1
Promotion - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)