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Kriens vs Luzern II

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
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Match Events

45' Event
Toggenburger N.
51' Event
Toggenburger N.
72' Event
Siegrist N.

AI Match Summary

Kriens in this Promotion League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kriens.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kriens
30%
Draws
23%
Luzern II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kriens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Kriens have won more games recently than Luzern II.
  • Kriens are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Promotion League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Kriens Clean Sheet 19%
Luzern II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kriens Luzern II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.37 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Promotion League
Kriens vs Luzern II
4:0
Oct 29, 2025 Promotion League
Luzern II vs Kriens
2:2
May 10, 2025 Promotion League
Kriens vs Luzern II
3:2
Nov 2, 2024 Promotion League
Luzern II vs Kriens
3:1
Mar 2, 2024 Promotion League
Kriens vs Luzern II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kriens Compare

Top Goalscorer Toggenburger N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Siegrist N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Luzern II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kriens 76 / 100
Luzern II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kriens Luzern II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kriens Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kriens scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Luzern II let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Kriens stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kriens VS Luzern II
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kriens

(Home)
18 Sept
Kriens
4 : 1
Etoile-Carouge
12 Sept
Aarau
2 : 2
Kriens
04 Sept
Kriens
0 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
01 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
1 : 1
Kriens
28 Aug
Kriens
3 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
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Luzern II

(Away)
26 Sept
Luzern II
2 : 3
Amical Saint-Prex
20 Sept
Bavois
0 : 1
Luzern II
12 Sept
Luzern II
0 : 1
Biel
05 Sept
Breitenrain
1 : 0
Luzern II
30 Aug
Young Boys II
2 : 2
Luzern II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kriens 34 25 4 5 100:43 79
2 Bruhl SG 34 22 6 6 87:46 72
3 Biel 34 19 7 8 78:46 64
4 Basel II 34 17 8 9 65:48 59
5 Bavois 34 17 4 13 64:53 55
6 Young Boys II 34 15 9 10 66:52 54
7 Schaffhausen 34 16 5 13 51:46 53
8 Bulle 34 15 6 13 70:64 51
9 Cham 34 14 8 12 62:61 50
10 Grand-Saconnex 34 11 10 13 71:69 43
11 Zurich II 34 11 8 15 59:62 41
12 Breitenrain 34 11 8 15 47:51 41
13 Luzern II 34 10 10 14 80:83 40
14 FC Kreuzlingen 34 8 13 13 43:66 37
15 Lugano II 34 8 12 14 45:75 36
16 Paradiso 34 8 11 15 51:65 35
17 Lausanne II 34 9 4 21 60:84 31
18 Vevey 34 1 5 28 28:113 2
Promotion - Challenge League (Main)