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Kristianstad vs Tvaaker - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Kristianstads Fotbollsarena, Kristianstad
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Henningsson A.
Assist: Hughes A.
16'
Sub
Nilsson V. In: Gustavsson V.
Out: Nilsson V.
44'
Wiman I.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Södra game between Kristianstad and Tvaaker finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tvaaker.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Kristianstad
20%
Draws
10%
Tvaaker
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kristianstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tvaaker come out ahead of Kristianstad on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Kristianstad taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Kristianstad Clean Sheet 16%
Tvaaker Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kristianstad Tvaaker
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Kristianstad vs Tvaaker
1:2
May 30, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Kristianstad
1:2
Oct 5, 2019 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Kristianstad
2:1
May 12, 2019 Division 1 - Södra
Kristianstad vs Tvaaker
1:1
Oct 6, 2018 Division 1 - Södra
Kristianstad vs Tvaaker
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kristianstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Henningsson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tvaaker Compare

Top Goalscorer Laci M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kristianstad 75 / 100
Tvaaker 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kristianstad Tvaaker

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kristianstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Kristianstad's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tvaaker's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Kristianstad went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kristianstad VS Tvaaker
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kristianstad

(Home)
02 Oct
Kristianstad
0 : 1
AFC Malmo
25 Sept
Lunds Bois
0 : 1
Kristianstad
20 Sept
Laholms
2 : 3
Kristianstad
17 Sept
Kristianstad
0 : 1
Olympic
13 Sept
Kristianstad
0 : 0
Jonkoping
Page 1 of 6

Tvaaker

(Away)
03 Oct
Tvaaker
1 : 2
Hassleholms IF
26 Sept
Trollhattan
4 : 2
Tvaaker
20 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 1
Trelleborg
17 Sept
Eskilsminne
4 : 2
Tvaaker
12 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 0
AFC Malmo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 25 16 6 3 55:28 54
2 Atvidaberg 25 13 7 5 49:35 46
3 Hassleholms IF 25 14 3 8 46:30 45
4 Lunds Bois 25 11 8 6 46:29 41
5 AFC Malmo 25 11 8 6 45:35 41
6 Trollhattan 25 10 8 7 42:37 38
7 Rosengard 25 10 8 7 41:37 38
8 Jonkoping 25 9 6 10 29:26 33
9 Tvaaker 25 9 6 10 33:39 33
10 Skovde 25 8 9 8 31:38 33
11 Eskilsminne 25 9 5 11 40:44 32
12 Olympic 25 9 3 13 41:48 30
13 Kristianstad 25 7 6 12 29:37 27
14 Laholms 25 7 4 14 32:43 25
15 Angelholm 25 4 9 12 31:47 21
16 Utsikten 25 2 6 17 23:60 12
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)