Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kristianstad vs Tvaaker

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Kristianstads Fotbollsarena, Kristianstad
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Henningsson A.
Assist: Hughes A.
16'
Sub
Nilsson V. In: Gustavsson V.
Out: Nilsson V.
44'
Wiman I.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Södra game between Kristianstad and Tvaaker finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tvaaker.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kristianstad
30%
Draws
41%
Tvaaker
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tvaaker

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Tvaaker's 2.12 goals per match outpaces what Kristianstad have produced (1.57).
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Kristianstad taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Kristianstad Clean Sheet 14%
Tvaaker Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kristianstad Tvaaker
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.57 2.12
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Kristianstad vs Tvaaker
1:2
May 30, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Kristianstad
1:2
Oct 5, 2019 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Kristianstad
2:1
May 12, 2019 Division 1 - Södra
Kristianstad vs Tvaaker
1:1
Oct 6, 2018 Division 1 - Södra
Kristianstad vs Tvaaker
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kristianstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Henningsson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Tvaaker Compare

Top Goalscorer Laci M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kristianstad 35 / 100
Tvaaker 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kristianstad Tvaaker

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kristianstad found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Tvaaker's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 25 matches.

Kristianstad went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kristianstad VS Tvaaker
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kristianstad

(Home)
07 Aug
Kristianstad
1 : 0
Angelholm
25 Jul
Kristianstad
2 : 2
Lilla Torg
01 Jul
Eskilsminne
3 : 2
Kristianstad
26 Jun
Kristianstad
0 : 0
Trelleborg
21 Jun
Kristianstad
0 : 3
Laholms
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Tvaaker

(Away)
08 Aug
Tvaaker
1 : 2
Atvidaberg
01 Aug
Tvaaker
2 : 2
Utsikten
26 Jun
Hassleholms IF
4 : 2
Tvaaker
18 Jun
Tvaaker
3 : 2
Angelholm
13 Jun
Tvaaker
2 : 1
Jonkoping
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 16 10 6 0 37:15 36
2 Hassleholms IF 17 9 3 5 34:22 30
3 Atvidaberg 16 8 5 3 32:21 29
4 AFC Malmo 16 8 4 4 31:20 28
5 Lunds Bois 17 7 7 3 29:22 28
6 Rosengard 16 7 5 4 27:21 26
7 Olympic 16 7 1 8 25:27 22
8 Tvaaker 16 6 4 6 20:23 22
9 Jonkoping 16 6 3 7 24:19 21
10 Eskilsminne 16 6 3 7 25:28 21
11 Angelholm 16 3 8 5 24:25 17
12 Kristianstad 16 4 5 7 17:24 17
13 Skovde 16 3 8 5 13:24 17
14 Laholms 16 5 1 10 22:30 16
15 Trollhattan 16 3 7 6 19:27 16
16 Utsikten 16 1 2 13 12:43 5
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)