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Kristiansund vs Aalesund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Ulvestad D.
Own Goal
56' Event
Lonebu K.
89' Event

AI Match Summary

Aalesund in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aalesund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Kristiansund
15%
Draws
51%
Aalesund
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalesund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aalesund lately — more wins on the board than Kristiansund.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Aalesund taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Kristiansund Clean Sheet 10%
Aalesund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kristiansund Aalesund
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.21 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Kristiansund vs Aalesund
0:3
Apr 26, 2026 Eliteserien
Aalesund vs Kristiansund
1:1
Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Aalesund vs Kristiansund
1:0
Mar 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Kristiansund vs Aalesund
2:1
Jul 19, 2024 Club Friendly
Aalesund vs Kristiansund
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kristiansund Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Aalesund Compare

Top Goalscorer Lonebu K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kristiansund 10 / 100
Aalesund 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kristiansund Aalesund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalesund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalesund's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Kristiansund scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Kristiansund has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kristiansund VS Aalesund
1.88 Goals Scored 3.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kristiansund

(Home)
04 Oct
Molde
3 : 0
Kristiansund
19 Sept
Kristiansund
1 : 3
Rosenborg
16 Sept
Brattvag
1 : 2
Kristiansund
13 Sept
Viking
8 : 1
Kristiansund
06 Sept
Kristiansund
2 : 0
Tromso
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Aalesund

(Away)
19 Sept
Molde
1 : 2
Aalesund
16 Sept
Forde
3 : 4
Aalesund
13 Sept
KFUM Oslo
2 : 1
Aalesund
04 Sept
Aalesund
2 : 0
Start
30 Aug
Viking
2 : 1
Aalesund
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