Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kristiansund vs Sarpsborg 08

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
35'
Sher A.
44' Event
Sorli S.

AI Match Summary

Sarpsborg 08 in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarpsborg 08.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Kristiansund
35%
Draws
30%
Sarpsborg 08
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Kristiansund have won more games recently than Sarpsborg 08.
  • Sarpsborg 08 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kristiansund Clean Sheet 14%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kristiansund Sarpsborg 08
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Eliteserien
Kristiansund vs Sarpsborg 08
0:0
Feb 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Kristiansund vs Sarpsborg 08
0:1
Aug 25, 2025 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund
0:1
Jul 13, 2025 Eliteserien
Kristiansund vs Sarpsborg 08
0:0
Sep 15, 2024 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kristiansund Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sarpsborg 08 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorli S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kristiansund 23 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kristiansund Sarpsborg 08

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarpsborg 08 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kristiansund scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Sarpsborg 08's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Kristiansund stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Kristiansund VS Sarpsborg 08
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kristiansund

(Home)
19 Sept
Kristiansund
1 : 3
Rosenborg
16 Sept
Brattvag
1 : 2
Kristiansund
13 Sept
Viking
8 : 1
Kristiansund
06 Sept
Kristiansund
2 : 0
Tromso
30 Aug
Ham-Kam
2 : 2
Kristiansund
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Sarpsborg 08

(Away)
18 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 3
KFUM Oslo
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2
Valerenga
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
22 Aug
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 2
Sarpsborg 08
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