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Krumovgrad vs Fratria

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Nikola Shterev - Starika Sports Complex, Plovdiv
Sat, Apr 4, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Krumovgrad host Fratria in the Vtora liga 2025/2026. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Fratria have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while Krumovgrad have conceded 0.88 and scored 3.25. Head-to-head, Krumovgrad have won 0 to Fratria's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.25, favoring Krumovgrad. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Krumovgrad
30%
Draws
26%
Fratria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Krumovgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Krumovgrad haven't matched Fratria's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Krumovgrad's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Vtora liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Krumovgrad Clean Sheet 19%
Fratria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krumovgrad Fratria
Matches Played 8 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 0 13
Losses 0 3
Goals Scored 3.25 1.69
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Vtora liga
Krumovgrad vs Fratria
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Krumovgrad
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krumovgrad 85 / 100
Fratria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krumovgrad Fratria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krumovgrad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krumovgrad scored in 100% of their last 8 games.

Krumovgrad has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Fratria let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Krumovgrad VS Fratria
3.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Krumovgrad

(Home)
26 Sept
Gigant Saedinenie
0 : 2
Krumovgrad
19 Sept
Maritsa Milevo
0 : 4
Krumovgrad
12 Sept
Krumovgrad
6 : 1
Sekirovo Rakovski
06 Sept
Botev II
0 : 2
Krumovgrad
29 Aug
Krumovgrad
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
Page 1 of 2

Fratria

(Away)
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
20 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 2
Fratria
15 Sept
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Fratria
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
01 Sept
Hebar
1 : 1
Fratria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 32 20 9 3 53:16 69
2 Yantra Gabrovo 32 18 10 4 45:24 64
3 Fratria 32 18 9 5 61:29 63
4 Vihren 32 17 7 8 59:34 58
5 CSKA Sofia II 32 16 7 9 57:32 55
6 Chernomorets 1919 32 11 13 8 38:32 46
7 Etar 32 11 11 10 39:43 44
8 Ludogorets II 32 11 8 13 41:43 41
9 Marek 32 10 11 11 27:35 41
10 Hebar 32 11 7 14 41:51 40
11 Pirin Blagoevgrad 32 9 11 12 38:41 38
12 Spartak Pleven 32 9 8 15 37:45 35
13 Svoge 32 9 7 16 28:48 34
14 Gorna 32 8 9 15 33:52 33
15 Sevlievo 32 9 5 18 29:52 32
16 Minyor Pernik 32 7 9 16 32:45 30
17 Belasitsa Petrich 32 4 7 21 26:62 19
Promotion - efbet League (Main)
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation)