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Kruoja vs Atlantas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2015
Sat, Nov 21, 2015
0 - 3
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kruoja host Atlantas in the A Lyga 2015. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Kruoja at 0.4 goals for, 2.37 against; Atlantas at 1.27 for, 1.93 against. Past meetings favor Atlantas slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 21, 2015, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 0.86) point toward Atlantas. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Kruoja
15%
Draws
85%
Atlantas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atlantas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atlantas lately — more wins on the board than Kruoja.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Kruoja taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Atlantas have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Kruoja Clean Sheet 20%
Atlantas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kruoja Atlantas
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 1 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 23 21
Goals Scored 0.4 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2015 TOPLYGA
Kruoja vs Atlantas
0:3
Sep 12, 2015 TOPLYGA
Atlantas vs Kruoja
3:0
Jun 21, 2015 TOPLYGA
Kruoja vs Atlantas
1:2
Apr 11, 2015 TOPLYGA
Atlantas vs Kruoja
3:1
Nov 29, 2014 TOPLYGA
Atlantas vs Kruoja
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kruoja 58 / 100
Atlantas 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kruoja Atlantas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kruoja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Atlantas has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Atlantas has conceded goals in 76% of their last 41 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Kruoja's goal record stands at 30% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atlantas
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kruoja

(Home)
28 Nov
FC Stumbras
3 : 0
Kruoja
21 Nov
Kruoja
0 : 3
Atlantas
09 Nov
Zalgiris
3 : 0
Kruoja
30 Oct
Kruoja
0 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris
24 Oct
Siauliai
3 : 0
Kruoja
Page 1 of 6

Atlantas

(Away)
20 Jun
Utenis
2 : 1
Atlantas
27 Nov
Atlantas
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
22 Nov
Zalgiris
5 : 0
Atlantas
08 Nov
Atlantas
1 : 4
FK Panevezys
04 Nov
Riteriai
5 : 2
Atlantas
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zalgiris 36 31 1 4 104:25 94
2 Riteriai 36 27 3 6 92:33 84
3 Atlantas 36 21 7 8 65:34 70
4 Suduva 36 21 4 11 76:34 67
5 FK Kauno Zalgiris 36 13 6 17 47:74 45
6 Utenis 36 11 9 16 41:50 42
7 FC Stumbras 36 11 8 17 51:74 41
8 Granitas Klaipeda 36 6 9 21 37:83 27
9 Siauliai 36 5 5 26 37:94 20
10 Kruoja 36 4 8 24 23:72 20
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