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Kruoja vs FK Kauno Zalgiris - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2015
Fri, Oct 30, 2015
0 - 3
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kruoja host FK Kauno Zalgiris in the A Lyga 2015. FK Kauno Zalgiris go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Kruoja at 0.4 goals for, 2.37 against; FK Kauno Zalgiris at 1.83 for, 0.85 against. Past meetings favor FK Kauno Zalgiris slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 30, 2015, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 1.43, favoring FK Kauno Zalgiris. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Kruoja
15%
Draws
85%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris have won more games recently than Kruoja.
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Kruoja Clean Sheet 17%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kruoja FK Kauno Zalgiris
Matches Played 30 47
Wins 1 28
Draws 6 12
Losses 23 7
Goals Scored 0.4 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.37 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2015 TOPLYGA
Kruoja vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:3
Aug 23, 2015 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Kruoja
1:1
Jun 2, 2015 TOPLYGA
Kruoja vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:2
Apr 2, 2015 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Kruoja
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kruoja 10 / 100
FK Kauno Zalgiris 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kruoja FK Kauno Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Kruoja scored in 30% of their last 30 games.

FK Kauno Zalgiris let in goals in 53% of their last 47 matches.

FK Kauno Zalgiris's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Kauno Zalgiris
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kruoja

(Home)
28 Nov
FC Stumbras
3 : 0
Kruoja
21 Nov
Kruoja
0 : 3
Atlantas
09 Nov
Zalgiris
3 : 0
Kruoja
30 Oct
Kruoja
0 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris
24 Oct
Siauliai
3 : 0
Kruoja
Page 1 of 6

FK Kauno Zalgiris

(Away)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zalgiris 36 31 1 4 104:25 94
2 Riteriai 36 27 3 6 92:33 84
3 Atlantas 36 21 7 8 65:34 70
4 Suduva 36 21 4 11 76:34 67
5 FK Kauno Zalgiris 36 13 6 17 47:74 45
6 Utenis 36 11 9 16 41:50 42
7 FC Stumbras 36 11 8 17 51:74 41
8 Granitas Klaipeda 36 6 9 21 37:83 27
9 Siauliai 36 5 5 26 37:94 20
10 Kruoja 36 4 8 24 23:72 20
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