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Krusa Basica Vilnius vs Svyturys Marijampole

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2016
Krusa Basica Vilnius Logo

Krusa Basica Vilnius

1 - 3
FT
Svyturys Marijampole Logo

Svyturys Marijampole

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Svyturys Marijampole in this Lithuanian Cup 2016 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Krusa Basica Vilnius
15%
Draws
38%
Svyturys Marijampole
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Krusa Basica Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Svyturys Marijampole have won more games recently than Krusa Basica Vilnius.
  • Krusa Basica Vilnius are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Svyturys Marijampole arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Svyturys Marijampole, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Krusa Basica Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%
Svyturys Marijampole Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krusa Basica Vilnius Svyturys Marijampole
Matches Played 4 18
Wins 2 11
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 2.5 1.89
Goals Conceded 3 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2016 Lithuanian Cup
Krusa Basica Vilnius vs Svyturys Marijampole
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krusa Basica Vilnius 74 / 100
Svyturys Marijampole 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krusa Basica Vilnius Svyturys Marijampole

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krusa Basica Vilnius Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krusa Basica Vilnius found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (4 games).

Defensive concern: Svyturys Marijampole conceded in 89% of 18 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Svyturys Marijampole's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Krusa Basica Vilnius VS Svyturys Marijampole
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Krusa Basica Vilnius

(Home)
12 Jun
Krusa Basica Vilnius
1 : 3
Svyturys Marijampole
08 Jul
Granitas Vilnius
7 : 2
Krusa Basica Vilnius
09 Jun
Krusa Basica Vilnius
5 : 2
KUPSC Siauliai
05 May
Rezervai Vilnius
0 : 2
Krusa Basica Vilnius

Svyturys Marijampole

(Away)
25 May
Svyturys Marijampole
0 : 2
Riteriai
20 Aug
Svyturys Marijampole
1 : 10
Suduva
05 Jul
Svyturys Marijampole
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
12 Jun
Krusa Basica Vilnius
1 : 3
Svyturys Marijampole
25 Aug
Svyturys Marijampole
0 : 2
FBK Kaunas
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Atlantas 7
Ateitis Vilnius 0
Navigatoriai Vilnius 1
SFK Rotalis 3
Koralas Klaipeda 5
Elektrenu Versme 0
Dainava Alytus 3
Dziugas Telsiai 5
SSPC FSK Radviliskis 4
Eurostandartas 2
Saulininkas Siauliai 1
Adiada Siauliai 2
Palanga 6
FA Dainava 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 0
Zalgiris 6
FC Stumbras 2
Granitas Vilnius 0
FK Sveikata Kybartai 0
FK Panevezys 1
Banga 3
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis 2
Utenis 0
Nevezis Kedainiai 2
Svyturys Marijampole 3
Krusa Basica Vilnius 1
Silute 1
FK Babrungas 2
Riteriai 2
Lygis Kaunas 0
Jonava 0
Suduva 1
1/8-finals
Atlantas 4
SFK Rotalis 0
Koralas Klaipeda 0
Dziugas Telsiai 1
SSPC FSK Radviliskis 3
Adiada Siauliai 2
Palanga 0
Zalgiris 4
FC Stumbras 2
FK Panevezys 0
Banga 1
Nevezis Kedainiai 2
Svyturys Marijampole 2
FK Babrungas 1
Riteriai 0
Suduva 4
Quarter-finals
Atlantas 2
Dziugas Telsiai 1
SSPC FSK Radviliskis 0
Zalgiris 7
FC Stumbras 3
Nevezis Kedainiai 0
Svyturys Marijampole 1
Suduva 10
Semi-finals
Atlantas 1
Zalgiris 2
FC Stumbras 0
Suduva 2
Final
Zalgiris 2
Suduva 0