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Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Baltika - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Gil B.

AI Match Summary

Baltika in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baltika.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Krylya Sovetov Samara
30%
Draws
19%
Baltika
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Krylya Sovetov Samara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Baltika have won more games recently than Krylya Sovetov Samara.
  • Krylya Sovetov Samara are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Krylya Sovetov Samara Clean Sheet 16%
Baltika Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krylya Sovetov Samara Baltika
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.46 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Russian Cup
Baltika vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
0:1
Aug 8, 2026 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Baltika
0:2
Feb 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Baltika
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Premier League
Baltika vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
2:0
Aug 9, 2025 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Baltika
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Krylya Sovetov Samara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Baltika Compare

Top Goalscorer Gil B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krylya Sovetov Samara 84 / 100
Baltika 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krylya Sovetov Samara Baltika

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krylya Sovetov Samara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Krylya Sovetov Samara remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Krylya Sovetov Samara's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Baltika conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Krylya Sovetov Samara VS Baltika
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Krylya Sovetov Samara

(Home)
02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0
Akron Togliatti
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1
Rodina Moscow
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2
Krasnodar
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
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Baltika

(Away)
16 Sept
Baltika
2 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2
Baltika
06 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
30 Aug
Rodina Moscow
0 : 3
Baltika
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