Sport Picks
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Krasnodar Prediction & H2H Stats
Russia
Premier League Samara Arena, Samara 
Match Events
3'
3'
Cordoba J.
Assist: Vorobyev D.
17'
17'
Joao Batxi
Assist: Olaza L.
46'
46'
Sub
Chesnokov I. In: Rahmanovic A.
Out: Chesnokov I.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Krylya Sovetov Samara and Krasnodar finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Krasnodar come out ahead of Krylya Sovetov Samara on wins alone.
- Model gives Krylya Sovetov Samara a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Krylya Sovetov Samara Clean Sheet 14%
Krasnodar Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Krylya Sovetov Samara | Krasnodar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 22 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 0.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Krasnodar
2:2
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Krasnodar vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
5:0
Sep 17, 2025 Russian Cup
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Krasnodar
1:2
Aug 24, 2025 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Krasnodar
0:6
Jul 29, 2025 Russian Cup
Krasnodar vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Krylya Sovetov Samara Compare
Top Goalscorer Rahmanovic A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Krasnodar Compare
Top Goalscorer Cordoba J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Joao Batxi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Krylya Sovetov Samara 41 / 100
Krasnodar 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Krylya Sovetov Samara Krasnodar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Krylya Sovetov Samara went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Krylya Sovetov Samara's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Krasnodar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 32 matches.
Scoring Trends
Krylya Sovetov Samara VS Krasnodar
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Krylya Sovetov Samara
(Home) 16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1 Rodina Moscow
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2 Krasnodar
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
29 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 3 Krylya Sovetov Samara
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1 Rodina Moscow
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2 Krasnodar
19 Aug
Krylya Sovetov Samara
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
16 Aug
Krylya Sovetov Samara
1 : 4 Dynamo Makhachkala
08 Aug
Krylya Sovetov Samara
0 : 2 Baltika
Page 1 of 3
Krasnodar
(Away) 17 Sept
Orenburg
0 : 0 Krasnodar
13 Sept
Krasnodar
1 : 1 Akron Togliatti
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2 Krasnodar
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Krasnodar
29 Aug
Krasnodar
1 : 0 FK Rostov
Page 1 of 7
17 Sept
Orenburg
0 : 0 Krasnodar
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2 Krasnodar
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Krasnodar
23 Aug
Dynamo Makhachkala
0 : 1 Krasnodar
19 Aug
Dynamo Moscow
0 : 1 Krasnodar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Zenit St Petersburg | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 6 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 8 | Baltika | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 10 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 11 | Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7:10 | 9 |
| 12 | FK Rostov | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | 3 |
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)
