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Kryvbas vs Karpaty Lviv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Girnyk, Kryvyj Rih
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Rusyn N.
20' Event
Jurcec J.
(Penalty)
30'
Eriki D. R. B.

AI Match Summary

Karpaty Lviv in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karpaty Lviv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Kryvbas
30%
Draws
47%
Karpaty Lviv
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Karpaty Lviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Karpaty Lviv lately — more wins on the board than Kryvbas.
  • Model gives Karpaty Lviv a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kryvbas Clean Sheet 13%
Karpaty Lviv Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kryvbas Karpaty Lviv
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.52 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.69 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Premier League
Kryvbas vs Karpaty Lviv
1:4
May 8, 2026 Premier League
Kryvbas vs Karpaty Lviv
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Karpaty Lviv vs Kryvbas
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 Premier League
Kryvbas vs Karpaty Lviv
2:0
Aug 11, 2024 Premier League
Karpaty Lviv vs Kryvbas
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kryvbas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Karpaty Lviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Baboglo V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kostenko Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kryvbas 19 / 100
Karpaty Lviv 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kryvbas Karpaty Lviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karpaty Lviv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kryvbas scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Karpaty Lviv let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Kryvbas stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kryvbas VS Karpaty Lviv
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kryvbas

(Home)
18 Oct
Kryvbas
0 : 3
LNZ Cherkasy
02 Oct
Shakhtar
3 : 0
Kryvbas
18 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 0
Kryvbas
08 Sept
Olympia Savyntsi
0 : 2
Kryvbas
05 Sept
Kryvbas
2 : 2
Kolos Kovalivka
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Karpaty Lviv

(Away)
18 Oct
Karpaty Lviv
2 : 2
Epitsentr
11 Oct
Dynamo Kyiv
1 : 0
Karpaty Lviv
03 Oct
KV Mechelen
2 : 3
Karpaty Lviv
20 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 1
Veres Rivne
16 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 3
Karpaty Lviv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhtar 9 8 0 1 20:5 24
2 Polissya Zhytomyr 9 7 1 1 20:8 22
3 FC Kharkiv 8 6 0 2 16:6 18
4 Dynamo Kyiv 8 5 1 2 11:8 16
5 Karpaty Lviv 9 4 3 2 17:8 15
6 LNZ Cherkasy 9 4 2 3 10:9 14
7 Zorya 9 4 2 3 12:13 14
8 Epitsentr 9 2 3 4 9:12 9
9 Veres Rivne 9 2 3 4 6:11 9
10 Kolos Kovalivka 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
11 Bukovyna 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
12 Livyi Bereg 8 1 4 3 6:8 7
13 Obolon 8 1 4 3 4:12 7
14 Ch. Odesa 8 1 2 5 5:11 5
15 Kudrivka 9 1 2 6 10:21 5
16 Kryvbas 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)