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Kryvbas vs Livyi Bereg

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Girnyk, Kryvyj Rih
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sub
Mpanzu J. In: Jones J.
Out: Mpanzu J.
18' Event
Rivas Y.
Assist: Shevchenko Volodymyrovych Y.
19'
Shastal D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Kryvbas and Livyi Bereg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kryvbas
30%
Draws
37%
Livyi Bereg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Livyi Bereg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Livyi Bereg come out ahead of Kryvbas on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kryvbas have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kryvbas Clean Sheet 19%
Livyi Bereg Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kryvbas Livyi Bereg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.62 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Premier League
Kryvbas vs Livyi Bereg
1:1
May 7, 2025 Premier League
Kryvbas vs Livyi Bereg
4:0
Sep 15, 2024 Premier League
Livyi Bereg vs Kryvbas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kryvbas Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Livyi Bereg Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kryvbas 32 / 100
Livyi Bereg 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kryvbas Livyi Bereg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kryvbas scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Kryvbas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Livyi Bereg has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kryvbas VS Livyi Bereg
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kryvbas

(Home)
18 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 0
Kryvbas
08 Sept
Olympia Savyntsi
0 : 2
Kryvbas
05 Sept
Kryvbas
2 : 2
Kolos Kovalivka
30 Aug
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0
Kryvbas
22 Aug
Rokyta
0 : 3
Kryvbas
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Livyi Bereg

(Away)
19 Sept
Epitsentr
0 : 2
Livyi Bereg
13 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 0
Livyi Bereg
09 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 2
Livyi Bereg
04 Sept
Ch. Odesa
0 : 0
Livyi Bereg
29 Aug
Livyi Bereg
1 : 1
Karpaty Lviv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polissya Zhytomyr 7 6 0 1 15:5 18
2 Shakhtar 7 6 0 1 15:4 18
3 Karpaty Lviv 7 4 2 1 15:5 14
4 Dynamo Kyiv 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
5 FC Kharkiv 6 4 0 2 12:4 12
6 Epitsentr 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
7 LNZ Cherkasy 7 2 2 3 5:8 8
8 Zorya 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
9 Livyi Bereg 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
10 Bukovyna 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
11 Veres Rivne 6 1 3 2 4:5 6
12 Ch. Odesa 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
13 Kolos Kovalivka 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
14 Kryvbas 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
15 Obolon 7 0 4 3 2:12 4
16 Kudrivka 6 0 2 4 4:16 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)