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KS Mieszko Gniezno vs Swinoujscie

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Prawucki K.
69' Event
Hoffmann J.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between KS Mieszko Gniezno and Swinoujscie finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
KS Mieszko Gniezno
6%
Draws
90%
Swinoujscie
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Swinoujscie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Swinoujscie come out ahead of KS Mieszko Gniezno on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Swinoujscie taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
KS Mieszko Gniezno Clean Sheet 10%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KS Mieszko Gniezno Swinoujscie
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 0 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 25 15
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 3 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2021 III Liga - Group II
KS Mieszko Gniezno vs Swinoujscie
1:1
Aug 15, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs KS Mieszko Gniezno
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KS Mieszko Gniezno Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoffmann J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Swinoujscie Compare

Top Goalscorer Prawucki K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KS Mieszko Gniezno 10 / 100
Swinoujscie 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KS Mieszko Gniezno Swinoujscie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swinoujscie's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Difficult form: Swinoujscie registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

KS Mieszko Gniezno found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

KS Mieszko Gniezno VS Swinoujscie
1 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

KS Mieszko Gniezno

(Home)
11 Jul
Polonia Slubice
3 : 1
KS Mieszko Gniezno
07 Feb
KS Mieszko Gniezno
2 : 2
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
12 Feb
Unia Swarzedz
5 : 2
KS Mieszko Gniezno
25 Jan
KS Mieszko Gniezno
1 : 2
Kleczew
10 Oct
KS Mieszko Gniezno
1 : 6
Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 6

Swinoujscie

(Away)
25 Jul
Warta Gorzow
1 : 1
Swinoujscie
18 Jul
Swinoujscie
1 : 2
Baltyk Koszalin
11 Jul
Blekitni Stargard
4 : 0
Swinoujscie
11 Jul
Swit Szczecin
3 : 2
Swinoujscie
05 Jul
Swinoujscie
4 : 1
Warta Gorzow
Page 1 of 6