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KS Wierzyca Pelplin vs Baltyk Koszalin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baltyk Koszalin in this III Liga - Group II 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baltyk Koszalin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
KS Wierzyca Pelplin
20%
Draws
38%
Baltyk Koszalin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KS Wierzyca Pelplin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • KS Wierzyca Pelplin haven't matched Baltyk Koszalin's recent run of results.
  • KS Wierzyca Pelplin are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Baltyk Koszalin here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
KS Wierzyca Pelplin Clean Sheet 11%
Baltyk Koszalin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KS Wierzyca Pelplin Baltyk Koszalin
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 2 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 3 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2019 III Liga - Group II
KS Wierzyca Pelplin vs Baltyk Koszalin
1:6
Sep 16, 2018 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs KS Wierzyca Pelplin
2:1
Mar 12, 2016 III Liga - Group I
KS Wierzyca Pelplin vs Baltyk Koszalin
1:2
Aug 22, 2015 III Liga - Group I
Baltyk Koszalin vs KS Wierzyca Pelplin
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KS Wierzyca Pelplin 40 / 100
Baltyk Koszalin 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KS Wierzyca Pelplin Baltyk Koszalin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baltyk Koszalin let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

KS Wierzyca Pelplin's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Baltyk Koszalin's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

KS Wierzyca Pelplin VS Baltyk Koszalin
3 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan II34236586:3375
2KKS Kalisz34216770:3769
3Stezyca34216775:3769
4Kotwica Kolobrzeg34208670:4168
5KS Mieszko Gniezno341941174:5361
6Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341931259:4460
7Swit Szczecin341610850:3358
8B. Gdynia341831359:5057
9Kleczew341651348:5053
10Starogard Gdanski341491156:3751
11Pogon Szczecin II341431752:5945
12Gornik Konin341251746:5641
13Baltyk Koszalin341241857:7540
14Jarocin341081637:5038
15Gwardia Koszalin341032135:7133
16Chemik Bydgoszcz34932238:6630
17KS Wierzyca Pelplin34352634:8114
18Wda Swiecie34152820:938