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Stadium Background

Ksar vs Gendrim

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event

AI Match Summary

Gendrim in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gendrim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Ksar
20%
Draws
58%
Gendrim
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gendrim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gendrim lately — more wins on the board than Ksar.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Gendrim taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ksar Clean Sheet 17%
Gendrim Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ksar Gendrim
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.83 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Ksar
1:4
Dec 30, 2025 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Gendrim
0:1
May 6, 2025 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Gendrim
2:1
Jan 1, 2025 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Ksar
1:0
Feb 25, 2024 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Ksar
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ksar 28 / 100
Gendrim 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ksar Gendrim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gendrim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gendrim's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ksar scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Ksar stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ksar VS Gendrim
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ksar

(Home)
24 May
Ksar
1 : 3
Tevragh-Zeina
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
09 May
Gendrim
1 : 4
Ksar
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
10 Apr
Nouadhibou
5 : 0
Ksar
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Gendrim

(Away)
25 May
Gendrim
2 : 1
Police
19 May
Douane
0 : 1
Gendrim
09 May
Gendrim
1 : 4
Ksar
03 May
Nzeidane
1 : 1
Gendrim
13 Apr
Gendrim
1 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)