Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ksar vs Kaedi

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Ksar Logo

Ksar

0 - 1
FT
Kaedi Logo

Kaedi

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Coulibaly M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kaedi in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kaedi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ksar
15%
Draws
59%
Kaedi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaedi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Kaedi have won more games recently than Ksar.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Kaedi here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ksar Clean Sheet 17%
Kaedi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ksar Kaedi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0.83 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Kaedi
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Ksar
1:1
May 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Ksar
2:0
Jan 7, 2025 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Kaedi
1:3
May 10, 2024 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Ksar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ksar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Kaedi Compare

Top Goalscorer Coulibaly M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ksar 31 / 100
Kaedi 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ksar Kaedi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaedi let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Ksar found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Ksar has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ksar VS Kaedi
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ksar

(Home)
24 May
Ksar
1 : 3
Tevragh-Zeina
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
09 May
Gendrim
1 : 4
Ksar
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
10 Apr
Nouadhibou
5 : 0
Ksar
Page 1 of 6

Kaedi

(Away)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
29 Apr
Kaedi
2 : 4
Tevragh-Zeina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)