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Ksar vs Nouadhibou Prediction & H2H Stats

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Al-Wali Y.
80' Event
Dembele K.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Ksar and Nouadhibou finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nouadhibou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Ksar
20%
Draws
58%
Nouadhibou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nouadhibou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Nouadhibou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Nouadhibou taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nouadhibou have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Ksar Clean Sheet 10%
Nouadhibou Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ksar Nouadhibou
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 17
Draws 6 10
Losses 19 3
Goals Scored 0.83 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Ksar
5:0
Dec 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Nouadhibou
0:2
Apr 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Ksar
3:0
Dec 13, 2024 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Nouadhibou
0:1
May 28, 2024 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Nouadhibou
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ksar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Nouadhibou Compare

Top Goalscorer Al-Wali Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dembele K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ksar 14 / 100
Nouadhibou 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ksar Nouadhibou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nouadhibou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Ksar's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Nouadhibou conceded in 43% of 30 recent games.

Ksar has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ksar VS Nouadhibou
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ksar

(Home)
24 May
Ksar
1 : 3
Tevragh-Zeina
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
09 May
Gendrim
1 : 4
Ksar
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
10 Apr
Nouadhibou
5 : 0
Ksar
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Nouadhibou

(Away)
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)