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Ksar vs Nouakchott Academy

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

88'
89' Event
Diarra H.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Mbodj A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Ksar and Nouakchott Academy finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nouakchott Academy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Ksar
20%
Draws
63%
Nouakchott Academy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nouakchott Academy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Ksar haven't matched Nouakchott Academy's recent run of results.
  • Nouakchott Academy are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ksar Clean Sheet 17%
Nouakchott Academy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ksar Nouakchott Academy
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 0.83 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Ligue 1
Nouakchott Academy vs Ksar
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Nouakchott Academy
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ksar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nouakchott Academy Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbodj A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ksar 12 / 100
Nouakchott Academy 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ksar Nouakchott Academy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nouakchott Academy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ksar's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nouakchott Academy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 26 matches.

Recent resilience: Ksar stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ksar VS Nouakchott Academy
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ksar

(Home)
24 May
Ksar
1 : 3
Tevragh-Zeina
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
09 May
Gendrim
1 : 4
Ksar
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
10 Apr
Nouadhibou
5 : 0
Ksar
Page 1 of 6

Nouakchott Academy

(Away)
24 May
Nouakchott Academy
2 : 1
SNIM
18 May
Pompiers
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
11 May
Nouakchott Academy
2 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
07 May
Nouakchott King's
1 : 2
Nouakchott Academy
29 Apr
Nzeidane
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)