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Ksour Essef vs CO Medenine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Bakhrouf A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Ksour Essef and CO Medenine finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ksour Essef.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Ksour Essef
15%
Draws
20%
CO Medenine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ksour Essef

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ksour Essef come out ahead of CO Medenine on wins alone.
  • Ksour Essef are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Ksour Essef Clean Sheet 68%
CO Medenine Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ksour Essef CO Medenine
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.43 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Ligue 2
Ksour Essef vs CO Medenine
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ksour Essef Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakhrouf A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

CO Medenine Compare

Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ksour Essef 59 / 100
CO Medenine 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ksour Essef CO Medenine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ksour Essef Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ksour Essef's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CO Medenine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Ksour Essef went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CO Medenine lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ksour Essef VS CO Medenine
1.38 Goals Scored 0.33
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 33%
63% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ksour Essef

(Home)
04 Oct
Ksour Essef
1 : 0
CO Medenine
27 Sept
Olympique Kef
0 : 0
Ksour Essef
20 Sept
Kerkennah
0 : 1
Ksour Essef
10 Sept
EM Mahdia
3 : 0
Ksour Essef
26 Aug
Ksour Essef
4 : 3
Stade Soussien
Page 1 of 6

CO Medenine

(Away)
04 Oct
Ksour Essef
1 : 0
CO Medenine
27 Sept
CO Medenine
1 : 2
Kalaa
13 Jun
CO Medenine
1 : 0
Moknine
07 Jun
Sidi Bouzid
2 : 1
CO Medenine
01 Jun
Zarzis
1 : 0
CO Medenine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EM Mahdia 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Soliman 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Megrine 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Msaken 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Sfax Railways 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 BS Bouhajla 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Sporting Ben Arous 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
8 US Tataouine 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
9 ES Beni-Khalled 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
10 Stade Soussien 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
11 AS Gabes 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
12 Chebba 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 AS Agareb 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
14 Kerkennah 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redeyef 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Kasserine 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
3 JS Kairouan 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
4 Ksour Essef 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5 Korba 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
6 Kalaa 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Jendouba Sport 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
8 Bouchamma 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
9 Stade Gabesien 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
10 Ariana 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
11 Olympique Kef 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
12 Moknine 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
13 CO Medenine 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
14 Gafsa 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)