Sport Picks
Match Events
34'
34'
Montassar H.
44'
44'
Messai M.
66'
66'
Ben Turkia A. A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Ksour Essef in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ksour Essef.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gafsa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ksour Essef average 1.59 goals a game right now, well clear of Gafsa's 1.1.
- Win probability leans Gafsa's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Ksour Essef have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ksour Essef Clean Sheet 14%
Gafsa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ksour Essef | Gafsa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Ligue 2
Ksour Essef vs Gafsa
4:2
Feb 8, 2026 Tunisia Cup
Ksour Essef vs Gafsa
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Gafsa vs Ksour Essef
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ksour Essef Compare
Top Goalscorer Montassar H.
2 Goals Assists Leader Belguith M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Gafsa Compare
Top Goalscorer Messai M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chaabani O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ksour Essef 23 / 100
Gafsa 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ksour Essef Gafsa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gafsa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gafsa let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Ksour Essef's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Solid form: Ksour Essef remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ksour Essef VS Gafsa
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ksour Essef
(Home) 10 Sept
EM Mahdia
3 : 0 Ksour Essef
26 Aug
Ksour Essef
4 : 3 Stade Soussien
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0 Ksour Essef
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2 Kalaa
28 Apr
Moknine
2 : 1 Ksour Essef
Page 1 of 6
26 Aug
Ksour Essef
4 : 3 Stade Soussien
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2 Kalaa
19 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2 Gafsa
05 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2 Sidi Bouzid
27 Feb
Ksour Essef
2 : 1 Jendouba Sport
Page 1 of 3
Gafsa
(Away) 12 May
Gafsa
5 : 2 Sidi Bouzid
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1 Gafsa
28 Apr
Gafsa
1 : 0 Jendouba Sport
19 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2 Gafsa
11 Apr
Gafsa
0 : 0 Redeyef
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1 Gafsa
19 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2 Gafsa
05 Apr
Stade Gabesien
2 : 1 Gafsa
27 Feb
PS Sakiet Eddaier
3 : 0 Gafsa
15 Feb
Kalaa
4 : 1 Gafsa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
