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Ksour Essef vs Jendouba Sport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Montassar H.
24' Event
Ouni B.
90' Event
Belguith M.

AI Match Summary

Ksour Essef in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ksour Essef.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Ksour Essef
15%
Draws
40%
Jendouba Sport
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ksour Essef

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jendouba Sport lately — more wins on the board than Ksour Essef.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ksour Essef Clean Sheet 12%
Jendouba Sport Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ksour Essef Jendouba Sport
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.31 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Ligue 2
Ksour Essef vs Jendouba Sport
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Ligue 2
Jendouba Sport vs Ksour Essef
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ksour Essef Compare

Top Goalscorer Montassar H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Belguith M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Jendouba Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouni B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ksour Essef 30 / 100
Jendouba Sport 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ksour Essef Jendouba Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jendouba Sport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ksour Essef stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Ksour Essef found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Ksour Essef VS Jendouba Sport
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ksour Essef

(Home)
04 Oct
Ksour Essef
1 : 0
CO Medenine
27 Sept
Olympique Kef
0 : 0
Ksour Essef
20 Sept
Kerkennah
0 : 1
Ksour Essef
10 Sept
EM Mahdia
3 : 0
Ksour Essef
26 Aug
Ksour Essef
4 : 3
Stade Soussien
Page 1 of 6

Jendouba Sport

(Away)
04 Oct
Jendouba Sport
1 : 0
Ariana
27 Sept
JS Kairouan
1 : 0
Jendouba Sport
12 May
Kalaa
1 : 3
Jendouba Sport
02 May
Jendouba Sport
1 : 0
Moknine
28 Apr
Gafsa
1 : 0
Jendouba Sport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)