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Ksour Essef vs PS Sakiet Eddaier

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Messadi H.

AI Match Summary

PS Sakiet Eddaier in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored PS Sakiet Eddaier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ksour Essef
30%
Draws
37%
PS Sakiet Eddaier
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PS Sakiet Eddaier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to PS Sakiet Eddaier lately — more wins on the board than Ksour Essef.
  • PS Sakiet Eddaier are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Ksour Essef Clean Sheet 10%
PS Sakiet Eddaier Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ksour Essef PS Sakiet Eddaier
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 19
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.57 2
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Ligue 2
Ksour Essef vs PS Sakiet Eddaier
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Ligue 2
PS Sakiet Eddaier vs Ksour Essef
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ksour Essef Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

PS Sakiet Eddaier Compare

Top Goalscorer Messadi H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ksour Essef 26 / 100
PS Sakiet Eddaier 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ksour Essef PS Sakiet Eddaier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PS Sakiet Eddaier Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ksour Essef found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Ksour Essef went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

PS Sakiet Eddaier let in goals in 47% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ksour Essef VS PS Sakiet Eddaier
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ksour Essef

(Home)
27 Sept
Olympique Kef
0 : 0
Ksour Essef
20 Sept
Kerkennah
0 : 1
Ksour Essef
10 Sept
EM Mahdia
3 : 0
Ksour Essef
26 Aug
Ksour Essef
4 : 3
Stade Soussien
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0
Ksour Essef
Page 1 of 6

PS Sakiet Eddaier

(Away)
13 Sept
Olympique Beja
1 : 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier
05 Sept
PS Sakiet Eddaier
1 : 0
Hammam-Lif
29 Aug
AS Marsa
0 : 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier
22 Aug
PS Sakiet Eddaier
2 : 0
Jeunesse Sportive
07 Aug
Club Africain
3 : 2
PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)