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KTP W vs Honka W

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup Women
KTP W Logo

KTP W

0 - 1
FT
Honka W Logo

Honka W

Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Ahlroos M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
KTP W
15%
Draws
57%
Honka W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Honka W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Honka W come out ahead of KTP W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Honka W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Honka W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Honka W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
KTP W Clean Sheet 12%
Honka W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KTP W Honka W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 19
Draws 1 4
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 1.33 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.57 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Honka W vs KTP W
1:0
May 27, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
KTP W vs Honka W
0:1
Apr 7, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
KTP W vs Honka W
0:3
Jul 5, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Honka W vs KTP W
0:1
May 4, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
KTP W vs Honka W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KTP W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Honka W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahlroos M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KTP W 22 / 100
Honka W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KTP W Honka W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Honka W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KTP W scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Honka W let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: KTP W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KTP W VS Honka W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KTP W

(Home)
13 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
1 : 0
KTP W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
22 Aug
KTP W
0 : 5
ONS Oulu W
16 Aug
Lahti W
2 : 5
KTP W
10 Aug
Keski-Uusimaa W
1 : 4
KTP W
Page 1 of 6

Honka W

(Away)
11 Sept
JyPK W
0 : 3
Honka W
30 Aug
Honka W
1 : 3
HJS W
23 Aug
Honka W
2 : 1
PK-35 Vantaa W
16 Aug
VIFK Vaasa W
0 : 2
Honka W
09 Aug
EBK W
0 : 1
Honka W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Aland United W 4
Tampere Utd W 0
Ilves W -
TBD -
Gnistan W 1
HIFK W 0
KuPS W -
TBD -
VPS W 3
FC PaRi Palokka W 2
NuPS W 0
PK-35 Vantaa W 8
HJK U18 W 4
Kiffen W 0
TBD -
HJK W -
EPS W 3
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) W 2
Lahti W 1
EBK W 2
Loviisa W 1
Keski-Uusimaa W 0
KTP W 0
Honka W 1
Apassit W 1
TPV W 2
TBD -
HPS W -
Athene FC W 3
Hertta W 2
WFA W 0
SJK-j Apollo W 1
1/8-finals
Aland United W 2
Ilves W 1
Gnistan W 0
KuPS W 2
VPS W 4
PK-35 Vantaa W 6
HJK U18 W 1
HJK W 6
EPS W 1
EBK W 4
Loviisa W 0
Honka W 8
TPV W 0
HPS W 4
Athene FC W 0
SJK-j Apollo W 3
Quarter-finals
Aland United W 1
KuPS W 2
PK-35 Vantaa W 1
HJK W 4
EBK W 4
Honka W 1
HPS W 5
SJK-j Apollo W 1
Semi-finals
KuPS W 0
HJK W 1
EBK W 0
HPS W 4
Final
HJK W 3
HPS W 1