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Stadium Background

Kucove vs Pogradeci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

First Division 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pogradeci in this First Division 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogradeci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Kucove
20%
Draws
80%
Pogradeci
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pogradeci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pogradeci lately — more wins on the board than Kucove.
  • Model gives Pogradeci a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Kucove Clean Sheet 10%
Pogradeci Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kucove Pogradeci
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 5 21
Draws 5 11
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 0.73 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.47 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2018 Kategoria e Parë
Kucove vs Pogradeci
1:2
Nov 4, 2017 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Kucove
2:0
May 16, 2015 Kategoria e Parë
Kucove vs Pogradeci
0:0
Dec 13, 2014 Kategoria e Parë
Kucove vs Pogradeci
0:0
Sep 27, 2014 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Kucove
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kucove 10 / 100
Pogradeci 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kucove Pogradeci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pogradeci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kucove scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Pogradeci's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 37 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Kucove VS Pogradeci
1 Goals Scored 1.88
4 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kucove

(Home)
06 Oct
Skenderbeu Korca
4 : 1
Kucove
15 Oct
Flamurtari
5 : 0
Kucove
16 Oct
Erzeni Shijak
1 : 0
Kucove
18 Oct
Apolonia Fier
4 : 0
Kucove
26 Sept
Laci
9 : 0
Kucove
Page 1 of 6

Pogradeci

(Away)
07 Oct
Pogradeci
7 : 0
Delvina
20 Sept
Pogradeci
0 : 0
Flamurtari
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3
Pogradeci
12 Sept
Pogradeci
2 : 1
Kastrioti
05 Sept
Iliria Kruja
0 : 0
Pogradeci
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kastrioti 18 14 2 2 24:7 44
2 KF Egnatia 18 8 5 5 18:11 29
3 Erzeni Shijak 18 7 5 6 22:20 26
4 Beselidhja Lezha 18 7 3 8 19:16 24
5 Dinamo City 18 6 6 6 10:12 24
6 Korabi Peshkopi 18 6 5 7 18:20 23
7 Besa Kavaje 18 6 3 9 15:21 21
8 Terbuni Puka 18 5 5 8 16:23 20
9 Burreli 18 5 4 9 12:18 19
10 Vllaznia 2 18 5 4 9 10:16 19
Promotion - First Division 2017/2018 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - First Division 2017/2018 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KF Tirana 18 14 3 1 46:6 45
2 Bylis 18 12 5 1 34:13 41
3 Apolonia Fier 18 9 4 5 31:19 31
4 Pogradeci 18 8 3 7 23:24 27
5 Tomori Berat 18 8 2 8 23:20 26
6 Iliria Kruja 18 8 1 9 19:21 25
7 Shenkolli 18 7 2 9 21:31 23
8 Turbina Cerrik 18 4 3 11 19:33 15
9 Shkumbini Peqin 18 4 3 11 9:29 15
10 Kucove 18 2 2 14 13:42 8
Promotion - First Division 2017/2018 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - First Division 2017/2018 (Relegation Group)