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Stadium Background

Kukesi vs Apolonia Fier

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 Kukes Arena, Kukës
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Amagba M.
55' Event
Lamellari E.
60' Event
Abiodoun T.

AI Match Summary

Kukesi in this Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kukesi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Kukesi
20%
Draws
20%
Apolonia Fier
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kukesi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Apolonia Fier haven't matched Kukesi's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Kukesi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Kukesi Clean Sheet 68%
Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kukesi Apolonia Fier
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.24 1
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs Apolonia Fier
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Kukesi
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs Apolonia Fier
2:1
Mar 27, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs Apolonia Fier
1:2
Nov 30, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Kukesi
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kukesi Compare

Top Goalscorer Lamellari E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abiodoun T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Apolonia Fier Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kukesi 59 / 100
Apolonia Fier 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kukesi Apolonia Fier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kukesi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kukesi found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Apolonia Fier let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Apolonia Fier has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kukesi VS Apolonia Fier
1.5 Goals Scored 1.2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Kukesi

(Home)
20 Sept
Kukesi
3 : 0
Korabi Peshkopi
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3
Pogradeci
12 Sept
Iliria Kruja
3 : 1
Kukesi
05 Sept
Kukesi
2 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
12 Aug
Kukesi
1 : 4
Besa Kavaje
Page 1 of 7

Apolonia Fier

(Away)
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
25 Apr
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1
Apolonia Fier
19 Apr
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2
Besa Kavaje
11 Apr
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 0
Apolonia Fier
04 Apr
Kukesi
2 : 0
Apolonia Fier
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)