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Kukesi vs Besa Kavaje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kukesi host Besa Kavaje in the Kategoria e Parë. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Besa Kavaje have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Kukesi have conceded 1.58 and scored 1.39. Past meetings favor Besa Kavaje slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 12, 2026, ending 1:4. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 2.50) point toward Besa Kavaje. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Kukesi
15%
Draws
53%
Besa Kavaje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Besa Kavaje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Besa Kavaje carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Besa Kavaje's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Kukesi Clean Sheet 10%
Besa Kavaje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kukesi Besa Kavaje
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 13 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.39 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Kukesi vs Besa Kavaje
1:4
May 3, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs Besa Kavaje
2:1
Jan 31, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs Besa Kavaje
1:0
Nov 19, 2025 Albanian Cup
Besa Kavaje vs Kukesi
3:1
Oct 29, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Kukesi
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kukesi 10 / 100
Besa Kavaje 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kukesi Besa Kavaje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besa Kavaje Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kukesi's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Besa Kavaje let in goals in 72% of their last 36 matches.

Kukesi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kukesi VS Besa Kavaje
1.5 Goals Scored 3
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kukesi

(Home)
07 Oct
Kukesi
3 : 2
Erzeni Shijak
02 Oct
Teuta
5 : 0
Kukesi
20 Sept
Kukesi
3 : 0
Korabi Peshkopi
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3
Pogradeci
12 Sept
Iliria Kruja
3 : 1
Kukesi
Page 1 of 7

Besa Kavaje

(Away)
07 Oct
Besa Kavaje
4 : 1
KS Devolli
20 Sept
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1
Besa Kavaje
16 Sept
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0
KF Oriku
12 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
0 : 4
Besa Kavaje
06 Sept
Besa Kavaje
3 : 3
Flamurtari
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogradeci 4 2 2 0 5:1 8
2 Besa Kavaje 4 2 1 1 13:5 7
3 Korabi Peshkopi 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
4 Iliria Kruja 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Bylis 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
6 Kukesi 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
7 Kastrioti 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
8 Burreli 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
9 Sopoti Librazhd 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
10 Beselidhja Lezha 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
11 Flamurtari 4 0 3 1 4:5 3
12 KF Oriku 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)