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Kukesi vs Beselidhja Lezha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Demircani D.
18' Event
Pjeshka P.

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë game between Kukesi and Beselidhja Lezha finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kukesi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Kukesi
15%
Draws
46%
Beselidhja Lezha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Beselidhja Lezha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Kukesi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Kukesi here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Kukesi Clean Sheet 15%
Beselidhja Lezha Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kukesi Beselidhja Lezha
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 4
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.38 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs Beselidhja Lezha
2:0
Oct 3, 2012 Albanian Cup
Kukesi vs Beselidhja Lezha
1:2
Sep 26, 2012 Albanian Cup
Beselidhja Lezha vs Kukesi
2:4
Apr 28, 2012 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Kukesi
3:4
Dec 17, 2011 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs Beselidhja Lezha
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kukesi Compare

Top Goalscorer Demircani D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pjeshka P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Beselidhja Lezha Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kukesi 35 / 100
Beselidhja Lezha 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kukesi Beselidhja Lezha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beselidhja Lezha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kukesi's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Beselidhja Lezha has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Kukesi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kukesi VS Beselidhja Lezha
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kukesi

(Home)
07 Oct
Kukesi
3 : 2
Erzeni Shijak
02 Oct
Teuta
5 : 0
Kukesi
20 Sept
Kukesi
3 : 0
Korabi Peshkopi
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3
Pogradeci
12 Sept
Iliria Kruja
3 : 1
Kukesi
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Beselidhja Lezha

(Away)
06 Oct
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1
Sopoti Librazhd
20 Sept
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1
Besa Kavaje
16 Sept
Bylis
0 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
12 Sept
Beselidhja Lezha
1 : 2
Korabi Peshkopi
05 Sept
Kukesi
2 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogradeci 4 2 2 0 5:1 8
2 Besa Kavaje 4 2 1 1 13:5 7
3 Korabi Peshkopi 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
4 Iliria Kruja 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Bylis 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
6 Kukesi 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
7 Kastrioti 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
8 Burreli 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
9 Sopoti Librazhd 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
10 Beselidhja Lezha 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
11 Flamurtari 4 0 3 1 4:5 3
12 KF Oriku 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)