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Kukesi vs KF Valbona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 Kukes Arena, Kukës
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Dragoshi R.
41' Event
Pecani R.
70' Event
Egbutudike C.

AI Match Summary

Kukesi in this Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kukesi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Kukesi
15%
Draws
0%
KF Valbona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kukesi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kukesi lately — more wins on the board than KF Valbona.
  • Kukesi are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Kukesi have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kukesi Clean Sheet 20%
KF Valbona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kukesi KF Valbona
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 3
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.43 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs KF Valbona
3:0
Dec 14, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs KF Valbona
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
KF Valbona vs Kukesi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kukesi Compare

Top Goalscorer Dragoshi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pecani R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

KF Valbona Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kukesi 42 / 100
KF Valbona 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kukesi KF Valbona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kukesi scored in 83% of their last 35 games.

KF Valbona let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

KF Valbona lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Scoring Trends

Kukesi VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kukesi

(Home)
07 Oct
Kukesi
3 : 2
Erzeni Shijak
02 Oct
Teuta
5 : 0
Kukesi
20 Sept
Kukesi
3 : 0
Korabi Peshkopi
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3
Pogradeci
12 Sept
Iliria Kruja
3 : 1
Kukesi
Page 1 of 7

KF Valbona

(Away)
15 Oct
KF Valbona
:
Tomori Berat
20 Apr
KF Valbona
1 : 3
Besa Kavaje
13 Apr
Burreli
2 : 1
KF Valbona
05 Apr
KF Valbona
1 : 2
Pogradeci
30 Mar
Lushnja
4 : 1
KF Valbona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vora 33 24 4 5 55:24 76
2 Flamurtari 33 23 6 4 62:21 75
3 Besa Kavaje 33 22 8 3 54:18 74
4 Burreli 33 16 10 7 36:22 58
5 Pogradeci 33 14 7 12 33:35 49
6 Apolonia Fier 33 11 12 10 45:32 45
7 Lushnja 33 13 5 15 39:41 44
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 12 5 16 35:48 41
9 Kastrioti 33 11 5 17 35:49 38
10 Kukesi 33 8 4 21 29:56 28
11 KF Valbona 33 3 7 23 29:59 16
12 Erzeni Shijak 33 2 5 26 16:63 11
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 (Relegation)