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Kukesi vs Maliqi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2021/2022 Elbasan Arena, Elbasani
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Daci K.
56' Event
Krnic A.
71' Event
Gavazaj Z.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Kukesi advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Kukesi
15%
Draws
0%
Maliqi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kukesi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kukesi come out ahead of Maliqi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kukesi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Kukesi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kukesi, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Kukesi have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Kukesi Clean Sheet 17%
Maliqi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kukesi Maliqi
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.43 1
Goals Conceded 1.71 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Maliqi vs Kukesi
1:3
Oct 13, 2021 Albanian Cup
Kukesi vs Maliqi
4:0
Sep 22, 2021 Albanian Cup
Maliqi vs Kukesi
0:0
Nov 1, 2020 Albanian Cup
Kukesi vs Maliqi
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kukesi Compare

Top Goalscorer Daci K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krnic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Maliqi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kukesi 84 / 100
Maliqi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kukesi Maliqi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kukesi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kukesi scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Maliqi conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Away concern: Maliqi has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kukesi VS Maliqi
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Kukesi

(Home)
07 Oct
Kukesi
3 : 2
Erzeni Shijak
02 Oct
Teuta
5 : 0
Kukesi
20 Sept
Kukesi
3 : 0
Korabi Peshkopi
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3
Pogradeci
12 Sept
Iliria Kruja
3 : 1
Kukesi
Page 1 of 6

Maliqi

(Away)
07 Oct
Apolonia Fier
3 : 1
Maliqi
08 Aug
Maliqi
1 : 3
Kukesi
16 Jan
Struga
3 : 0
Maliqi
15 Oct
Vora
6 : 2
Maliqi
12 Oct
Skenderbeu Korca
3 : 0
Maliqi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Erzeni Shijak -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo City -
Shkumbini Peqin -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Tirana -
Beselidhja Lezha -
TBD -
TBD -
Burreli -
Terbuni Puka -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizani -
Flamurtari -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier -
KF Elbasani -
TBD -
TBD -
Kastrioti -
Besa Kavaje -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogradeci -
Laberia FC 3
KS Devolli 0
TBD -
Vllaznia -
KF Oriku -
TBD -
TBD -
Bylis -
Koplik -
TBD -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca -
Vora -
TBD -
TBD -
Korabi Peshkopi -
Sopoti Librazhd 1
Luzi 2
TBD -
Teuta -
Turbina Cerrik -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
Maliqi -
TBD -
TBD -
Kukesi -
Butrinti Sarande -
TBD -
TBD -
Laci -
Lushnja -
TBD -
TBD -
Tomori Berat -
1/16-finals
Erzeni Shijak 1
Dinamo City 2
Shkumbini Peqin 0
KF Tirana 9
Beselidhja Lezha 4
Burreli 2
Terbuni Puka 0
Partizani 6
Flamurtari 3
Apolonia Fier 2
KF Elbasani 0
Kastrioti 4
Besa Kavaje 1
Pogradeci 2
Laberia FC 2
Vllaznia 5
KF Oriku 1
Bylis 7
Koplik 0
Skenderbeu Korca 7
Vora 3
Korabi Peshkopi 5
Luzi 3
Teuta 6
Turbina Cerrik 1
KF Egnatia 2
Maliqi 0
Kukesi 4
Butrinti Sarande 1
Laci 5
Lushnja 0
Tomori Berat 3
1/8-finals
Dinamo City 3
KF Tirana 2
Beselidhja Lezha 0
Partizani 3
Flamurtari 4
Kastrioti 2
Pogradeci 1
Vllaznia 8
Bylis 3
Skenderbeu Korca 4
Korabi Peshkopi 0
Teuta 3
KF Egnatia 3
Kukesi 2
Laci 2
Tomori Berat 1
Quarter-finals
Dinamo City 1
Partizani 2
Flamurtari 1
Vllaznia 3
Skenderbeu Korca 0
Teuta 2
KF Egnatia 1
Laci 2
Semi-finals
Partizani 1
Vllaznia 2
Teuta 2
Laci 3
Final
Vllaznia 2
Laci 1