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Kumamoto vs FC Nobeoka Agata

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Kumamoto and FC Nobeoka Agata finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Nobeoka Agata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kumamoto
25%
Draws
35%
FC Nobeoka Agata
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Kumamoto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kumamoto come out ahead of FC Nobeoka Agata on wins alone.
  • Kumamoto are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Kumamoto Clean Sheet 20%
FC Nobeoka Agata Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kumamoto FC Nobeoka Agata
Matches Played 29 2
Wins 12 1
Draws 4 0
Losses 13 1
Goals Scored 0.97 3
Goals Conceded 1.17 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Kumamoto vs FC Nobeoka Agata
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kumamoto 49 / 100
FC Nobeoka Agata 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kumamoto FC Nobeoka Agata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kumamoto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Nobeoka Agata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 2 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Kumamoto remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Kumamoto scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Kumamoto VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kumamoto

(Home)
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1
Kumamoto
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0
Matsumoto Yamaga
12 Sept
Fukushima United
1 : 2
Kumamoto
06 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 2
Nara Club
02 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 0
Oita Trinita
Page 1 of 6

FC Nobeoka Agata

(Away)
20 Jan
FC Nobeoka Agata
2 : 6
Vegalta Sendai
17 Jan
Kumamoto
1 : 4
FC Nobeoka Agata