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FC Nobeoka Agata

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kumamoto play FC Nobeoka Agata in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kumamoto averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. FC Nobeoka Agata averaged 3 goals scored and 3.5 conceded. In past meetings, Kumamoto won 0, FC Nobeoka Agata won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 17, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Kumamoto and 1.06 for FC Nobeoka Agata. This points to a FC Nobeoka Agata double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Kumamoto

40%

Draws

30%

FC Nobeoka Agata

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: FC Nobeoka Agata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Kumamoto picked up more points recently compared to FC Nobeoka Agata.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 39%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Kumamoto Clean Sheet 22%

FC Nobeoka Agata Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kumamoto	FC Nobeoka Agata
Matches Played	30	2
Wins	11	1
Draws	4	0
Losses	15	1
Goals Scored	0.93	3
Goals Conceded	1.23	3.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly

Kumamoto vs FC Nobeoka Agata

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 3 - 2

1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kumamoto 31 / 100

FC Nobeoka Agata 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kumamoto FC Nobeoka Agata

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Nobeoka Agata or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.2%

3.03

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kumamoto attacking → ← attacking FC Nobeoka Agata

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kumamoto scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

FC Nobeoka Agata let in goals in 100% of their last 2 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Kumamoto went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Nobeoka Agata lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 3

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00