Sport Picks
Kumamoto vs Nagano Parceiro
Japan
J3 League Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto 
Match Events
11'
11'
Nojima K.
Assist: Yoshizawa S.
46'
46'
Sub
Nojima K. In: Higuchi K.
Out: Nojima K.
62'
62'
Sub
Kobayashi K. In: Toda S.
Out: Kobayashi K.
AI Match Summary
Nagano Parceiro in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nagano Parceiro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kumamoto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kumamoto have won more games recently than Nagano Parceiro.
- Kumamoto are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Kumamoto Clean Sheet 68%
Nagano Parceiro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kumamoto | Nagano Parceiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.96 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 J3 League
Kumamoto vs Nagano Parceiro
0:1
Sep 19, 2021 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Kumamoto
0:2
May 16, 2021 J3 League
Kumamoto vs Nagano Parceiro
2:0
Oct 7, 2020 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Kumamoto
1:0
Sep 9, 2020 J3 League
Kumamoto vs Nagano Parceiro
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kumamoto Compare
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Nagano Parceiro Compare
Top Goalscorer Nojima K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kumamoto 59 / 100
Nagano Parceiro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kumamoto Nagano Parceiro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kumamoto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kumamoto has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Nagano Parceiro conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Kumamoto found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).
Scoring Trends
Kumamoto VS Nagano Parceiro
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Kumamoto
(Home) 26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Kumamoto
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
12 Sept
Fukushima United
1 : 2 Kumamoto
06 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 2 Nara Club
02 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 0 Oita Trinita
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
06 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 2 Nara Club
02 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 0 Oita Trinita
22 Aug
Kumamoto
0 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
15 Aug
Kumamoto
0 : 0 Tochigi SC
Page 1 of 3
Nagano Parceiro
(Away) 26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
20 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0 Gifu
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1 Tochigi SC
09 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1 Mito
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
26 Aug
FC Tokyo
6 : 0 Nagano Parceiro
22 Aug
Kumamoto
0 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
16 Aug
FC Osaka
4 : 2 Nagano Parceiro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:8 | 20 |
| 2 | Ehime | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 17 |
| 3 | FC Osaka | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 5 | Nara Club | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18:16 | 14 |
| 6 | Gifu | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:8 | 13 |
| 7 | Kumamoto | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 8 | SC Sagamihara | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Reilac Shiga | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 10 | Ryukyu | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 11 | Nagano Parceiro | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Kanazawa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:18 | 10 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 15 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 16 | Fukushima United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 16:20 | 7 |
| 17 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:15 | 6 |
| 19 | Kochi United | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:18 | 5 |
| 20 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:17 | 4 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
