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Kumamoto vs Reilac Shiga Prediction & H2H Stats

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto
Kumamoto Logo

Kumamoto

2 - 0
FT
Reilac Shiga Logo

Reilac Shiga

Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Aoki S.
53' Event
Ide K.
Own Goal
55'
Kinoshita R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kumamoto in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kumamoto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kumamoto
30%
Draws
23%
Reilac Shiga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kumamoto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Reilac Shiga lately — more wins on the board than Kumamoto.
  • Kumamoto are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Kumamoto Clean Sheet 68%
Reilac Shiga Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kumamoto Reilac Shiga
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 1
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 J3 League
Reilac Shiga vs Kumamoto
0:0
May 3, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kumamoto vs Reilac Shiga
2:0
Mar 8, 2026 J2/J3 League
Reilac Shiga vs Kumamoto
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kumamoto Compare

Top Goalscorer Omoto Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Reilac Shiga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kumamoto 59 / 100
Reilac Shiga 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kumamoto Reilac Shiga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kumamoto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reilac Shiga has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Kumamoto stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Reilac Shiga's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Kumamoto scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Kumamoto VS Reilac Shiga
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kumamoto

(Home)
02 Oct
Reilac Shiga
0 : 0
Kumamoto
29 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1
Kumamoto
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0
Matsumoto Yamaga
12 Sept
Fukushima United
1 : 2
Kumamoto
Page 1 of 6

Reilac Shiga

(Away)
02 Oct
Reilac Shiga
0 : 0
Kumamoto
26 Sept
Nara Club
4 : 1
Reilac Shiga
20 Sept
Reilac Shiga
3 : 0
Ryukyu
13 Sept
Reilac Shiga
1 : 2
Kagoshima United
09 Sept
Reilac Shiga
0 : 1
Verdy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)