Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kumla vs Savedalen

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Persson M.
88' Event
Gorgol A.
90'
Lindhe Rehn J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Kumla advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Kumla
20%
Draws
48%
Savedalen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Savedalen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Savedalen haven't matched Kumla's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Savedalen a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Kumla have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kumla, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kumla Clean Sheet 12%
Savedalen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kumla Savedalen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.14 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Savedalen
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Savedalen vs Kumla
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kumla Compare

Top Goalscorer Persson M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gorgol A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Savedalen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kumla 14 / 100
Savedalen 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kumla Savedalen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Savedalen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Savedalen conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Kumla scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Savedalen registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kumla VS Savedalen
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Kumla

(Home)
11 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
Motala
04 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
IFK Skovde
29 Aug
Ahlafors
7 : 1
Kumla
21 Aug
Kumla
2 : 6
Husqvarna
15 Aug
Stenungsunds IF
5 : 0
Kumla
Page 1 of 6

Savedalen

(Away)
02 Jun
Savedalen
2 : 3
Boljan
01 Nov
Kumla
2 : 0
Savedalen
25 Oct
Savedalen
1 : 0
Kumla
02 Nov
Savedalen
1 : 4
Astorps
26 Oct
Astorps
3 : 1
Savedalen
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Kumla 2
Savedalen 1