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Stadium Background

Kumla vs Skara

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Fellrath Y.
89' Event
Fellrath Y.

AI Match Summary

Skara in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Kumla
20%
Draws
58%
Skara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Skara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Skara have won more games recently than Kumla.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Skara taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Skara here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Kumla Clean Sheet 10%
Skara Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kumla Skara
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.14 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Skara
0:2
Jun 25, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Skara vs Kumla
1:2
Jun 19, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Skara
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kumla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Skara Compare

Top Goalscorer Fellrath Y.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kumla 10 / 100
Skara 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kumla Skara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kumla scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Skara conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Kumla went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kumla VS Skara
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kumla

(Home)
29 Aug
Ahlafors
7 : 1
Kumla
21 Aug
Kumla
2 : 6
Husqvarna
15 Aug
Stenungsunds IF
5 : 0
Kumla
08 Aug
Kumla
2 : 1
Vanersborgs IF
31 Jul
Tord
2 : 0
Kumla
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Skara

(Away)
29 Aug
Lidkoping
1 : 1
Skara
22 Aug
Skara
2 : 1
Tord
14 Aug
Husqvarna
1 : 0
Skara
07 Aug
Skara
4 : 0
Vanersborgs FK
31 Jul
Stenungsunds IF
1 : 1
Skara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 19 16 3 0 47:14 51
2 Skara 19 12 5 2 37:21 41
3 IFK Skovde 19 11 4 4 37:24 37
4 Ahlafors 19 9 7 3 45:23 34
5 Grebbestad 19 9 3 7 34:29 30
6 Herrestads AIF 19 8 6 5 36:32 30
7 Stenungsunds IF 19 7 5 7 33:26 26
8 Vanersborgs FK 19 6 4 9 26:34 22
9 Motala 19 5 6 8 26:27 21
10 Kumla 19 5 5 9 20:37 20
11 Tord 19 2 9 8 22:32 15
12 Lidkoping 19 3 6 10 20:38 15
13 Karlstad II 19 2 6 11 20:35 12
14 Vanersborgs IF 19 2 3 14 20:51 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)