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Kupiskis vs FC Stumbras 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2019
Sun, Oct 27, 2019
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kupiskis host FC Stumbras 2 in the I Lyga 2019. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Kupiskis have averaged 1.75 scored and 2 conceded recently, against FC Stumbras 2's 0.91 scored and 1.64 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Stumbras 2 slightly — 0-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 27, 2019, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.97 vs 2.00, favoring FC Stumbras 2. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Kupiskis
15%
Draws
51%
FC Stumbras 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Stumbras 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kupiskis come out ahead of FC Stumbras 2 on wins alone.
  • Model gives FC Stumbras 2 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Kupiskis Clean Sheet 10%
FC Stumbras 2 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kupiskis FC Stumbras 2
Matches Played 28 11
Wins 10 4
Draws 6 2
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.75 0.91
Goals Conceded 2 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2019 I Lyga
Kupiskis vs FC Stumbras 2
0:0
Sep 1, 2019 I Lyga
FC Stumbras 2 vs Kupiskis
0:0
Oct 5, 2018 I Lyga
FC Stumbras 2 vs Kupiskis
5:3
Jul 4, 2018 I Lyga
Kupiskis vs FC Stumbras 2
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kupiskis 18 / 100
FC Stumbras 2 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kupiskis FC Stumbras 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Stumbras 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Attacking prowess: Kupiskis scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: FC Stumbras 2 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

FC Stumbras 2 has conceded goals in 55% of their last 11 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kupiskis VS FC Stumbras 2
0.75 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kupiskis

(Home)
23 Oct
BFA Vilnius
0 : 2
Kupiskis
19 Oct
Banga
5 : 1
Kupiskis
13 Oct
Dainava Alytus
3 : 1
Kupiskis
05 Oct
Kupiskis
1 : 4
FK Minija
28 Sept
Kupiskis
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
Page 1 of 6

FC Stumbras 2

(Away)
23 Jun
FC Hegelmann
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
18 Jun
Dziugas Telsiai
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
20 May
Banga
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
13 May
Dainava Alytus
0 : 2
FC Stumbras 2
05 May
FC Stumbras 2
4 : 0
Riteriai 2
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dziugas Telsiai 28 19 4 5 58:23 61
2 Banga 28 17 5 6 57:24 56
3 Vilniaus Vytis 28 17 4 7 74:31 55
4 Dainava Alytus 28 17 2 9 64:32 53
5 Nevezis Kedainiai 28 16 4 8 66:37 52
6 FA Siauliai 28 14 5 9 61:37 47
7 FC Hegelmann 28 12 8 8 57:42 44
8 FK Minija 28 12 5 11 54:49 41
9 Jonava 28 12 4 12 55:46 40
10 Kupiskis 28 10 6 12 49:56 36
11 BFA Vilnius 28 10 3 15 56:53 33
12 Riteriai 2 28 9 5 14 61:49 32
13 Zalgiris 2 28 6 4 18 43:83 22
14 FK Atmosfera 28 3 4 21 23:96 13
15 FC Pakruojis 28 3 3 22 25:145 12
16 FC Stumbras 2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - A Lyga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Relegation)