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Stadium Background

Kupiskis vs FK Minija

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Juska G.
28' Event
Juska G.
48' Event
Juska G.

AI Match Summary

FK Minija in this I Lyga 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Minija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Kupiskis
15%
Draws
67%
FK Minija
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • FK Minija have won more games recently than Kupiskis.
  • Model gives FK Minija a 67% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I Lyga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and FK Minija have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kupiskis Clean Sheet 18%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kupiskis FK Minija
Matches Played 28 41
Wins 10 34
Draws 6 2
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.75 2.59
Goals Conceded 2 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2019 I Lyga
Kupiskis vs FK Minija
1:4
Jun 15, 2019 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Kupiskis
3:4
May 24, 2019 Lithuanian Cup
Kupiskis vs FK Minija
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kupiskis Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulauskas D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

FK Minija Compare

Top Goalscorer Juska G.
4 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kupiskis 10 / 100
FK Minija 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kupiskis FK Minija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Minija Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

Kupiskis scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: FK Minija conceded in 59% of 41 recent games.

Kupiskis has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Minija
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kupiskis

(Home)
23 Oct
BFA Vilnius
0 : 2
Kupiskis
19 Oct
Banga
5 : 1
Kupiskis
13 Oct
Dainava Alytus
3 : 1
Kupiskis
05 Oct
Kupiskis
1 : 4
FK Minija
28 Sept
Kupiskis
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
Page 1 of 6

FK Minija

(Away)
02 Oct
FK Minija
5 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1
Neptunas
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3
FK Minija
05 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 0
Transinvest 2
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2
Dainava Alytus
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dziugas Telsiai 28 19 4 5 58:23 61
2 Banga 28 17 5 6 57:24 56
3 Vilniaus Vytis 28 17 4 7 74:31 55
4 Dainava Alytus 28 17 2 9 64:32 53
5 Nevezis Kedainiai 28 16 4 8 66:37 52
6 FA Siauliai 28 14 5 9 61:37 47
7 FC Hegelmann 28 12 8 8 57:42 44
8 FK Minija 28 12 5 11 54:49 41
9 Jonava 28 12 4 12 55:46 40
10 Kupiskis 28 10 6 12 49:56 36
11 BFA Vilnius 28 10 3 15 56:53 33
12 Riteriai 2 28 9 5 14 61:49 32
13 Zalgiris 2 28 6 4 18 43:83 22
14 FK Atmosfera 28 3 4 21 23:96 13
15 FC Pakruojis 28 3 3 22 25:145 12
16 FC Stumbras 2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - A Lyga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Relegation)