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Kupiskis vs Utenis

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Levsinas K.
10' Event
Ubeika M.
13' Event
Levsinas K.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga 2018 game between Kupiskis and Utenis finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Utenis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Kupiskis
15%
Draws
36%
Utenis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kupiskis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Very High Confidence
  • Utenis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kupiskis a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I Lyga 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Kupiskis Clean Sheet 20%
Utenis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kupiskis Utenis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 2.25 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.25 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2018 I Lyga
Kupiskis vs Utenis
1:3
Apr 22, 2018 I Lyga
Utenis vs Kupiskis
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kupiskis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Utenis Compare

Top Goalscorer Levsinas K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ubeika M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kupiskis 85 / 100
Utenis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kupiskis Utenis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KUP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kupiskis's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Utenis let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Utenis has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kupiskis VS Utenis
2.25 Goals Scored 0.6
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 80%
50% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Kupiskis

(Home)
23 Oct
BFA Vilnius
0 : 2
Kupiskis
19 Oct
Banga
5 : 1
Kupiskis
13 Oct
Dainava Alytus
3 : 1
Kupiskis
05 Oct
Kupiskis
1 : 4
FK Minija
28 Sept
Kupiskis
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
Page 1 of 6

Utenis

(Away)
29 Apr
Utenis
1 : 5
Tauras Taurage
07 May
Utenis
0 : 5
FK Panevezys
22 May
Utenis
0 : 3
Silute
30 Jun
Utenis
0 : 2
FK Sveikata Kybartai
20 Jun
Utenis
2 : 1
Atlantas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Panevezys 26 18 4 4 77:26 58
2 Dainava Alytus 26 17 6 3 59:22 57
3 Banga 26 18 0 8 51:24 54
4 Nevezis Kedainiai 26 16 5 5 63:31 53
5 Dziugas Telsiai 26 14 3 9 49:34 45
6 Vilniaus Vytis 26 13 5 8 67:44 44
7 FC Pakruojis 26 13 3 10 44:44 42
8 Utenis 26 12 5 9 46:33 41
9 FC Stumbras 2 26 10 6 10 42:37 36
10 BE1 NFA 26 8 3 15 44:45 27
11 Riteriai 2 26 7 5 14 39:59 26
12 Zalgiris 2 26 6 3 17 26:57 21
13 Kupiskis 26 4 2 20 46:91 14
14 Koralas Klaipeda 26 1 0 25 5:111 3
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2018 (Relegation - Play Offs)