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KuPS vs AC Oulu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Vare Areena, Kuopio
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Triana C.
Assist: Lotvonen J.
46'
Sub
Mendolin I. In: Paananen J.
Out: Mendolin I.
58'
Armah B.

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between KuPS and AC Oulu finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AC Oulu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
KuPS
30%
Draws
31%
AC Oulu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: KuPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • KuPS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • KuPS are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AC Oulu have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
KuPS Clean Sheet 68%
AC Oulu Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KuPS AC Oulu
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 10 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.35 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs AC Oulu
0:1
May 2, 2026 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs KuPS
2:0
Apr 22, 2026 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs AC Oulu
3:2
Feb 28, 2026 Liiga Cup
AC Oulu vs KuPS
5:0
Dec 5, 2025 Club Friendly
KuPS vs AC Oulu
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KuPS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

AC Oulu Compare

Top Goalscorer Triana C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS 59 / 100
AC Oulu 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KuPS AC Oulu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KuPS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: KuPS scored in 76% of their last 34 outings.

AC Oulu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

KuPS went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KuPS VS AC Oulu
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

KuPS

(Home)
08 Oct
KuPS
0 : 1
AC Oulu
19 Sept
VPS
0 : 2
KuPS
13 Sept
KuPS
0 : 0
HJK
08 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
KuPS
31 Aug
Inter Turku
1 : 0
KuPS
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AC Oulu

(Away)
08 Oct
KuPS
0 : 1
AC Oulu
18 Sept
AC Oulu
0 : 1
Inter Turku
12 Sept
AC Oulu
1 : 2
Gnistan
08 Sept
VPS
1 : 0
AC Oulu
31 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 0
SJK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Turku 26 13 10 3 32:18 49
2 KuPS 26 13 9 4 41:25 48
3 HJK 26 13 6 7 45:29 45
4 Gnistan 26 11 9 6 40:32 42
5 AC Oulu 26 11 4 11 27:29 37
6 VPS 26 10 6 10 30:31 36
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)