Sport Picks

Finland

Veikkausliiga Vare Areena

KuPS

3 - 0

Jaro

Our Tip

Match Events

34'

Armah B.

Assist: Engvall G.

50'

Armah B.

Assist: Heiskanen S.

55'

Sub

Vikstrom J. In: Vuorinen V.

Out: Vikstrom J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between KuPS and Jaro finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KuPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

KuPS

Draws

Jaro

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: KuPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

KuPS carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives KuPS a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

KuPS Clean Sheet 20%

Jaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	KuPS	Jaro
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	13	9
Draws	7	6
Losses	8	14
Goals Scored	1.88	1.38
Goals Conceded	1	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Veikkausliiga

KuPS vs Jaro

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 4 - 0

3:0

Apr 18, 2026 Veikkausliiga

Jaro vs KuPS

Possession: 52% - 56% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

Feb 22, 2026 Liiga Cup

KuPS vs Jaro

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 4 - 2

3:4

Sep 10, 2025 Suomen Cup

KuPS vs Jaro

Possession: 57% - 47% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Aug 24, 2025 Veikkausliiga

Jaro vs KuPS

Possession: 54% - 50% Cards: 4 - 1

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KuPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Armah B.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Gasc V. R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Jaro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS 85 / 100

Jaro 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

KuPS Jaro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KUP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jaro conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

KuPS found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: KuPS remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

KuPS VS Jaro

1.88 Goals Scored 1.38

1 Goals Conceded 2.13

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	15	8	6	1	27:15	30
2	Inter Turku	15	8	6	1	23:12	30
3	VPS	15	7	6	2	22:11	27
4	AC Oulu	15	8	2	5	20:18	26
5	HJK	15	6	4	5	25:19	22
6	Gnistan	15	6	4	5	23:20	22
7	TPS	15	6	4	5	19:16	22
8	Lahti	15	5	4	6	18:15	19
9	Ilves	15	4	4	7	25:29	16
10	SJK	15	3	5	7	18:23	14
11	Jaro	15	2	5	8	15:32	11
12	Mariehamn	15	0	4	11	8:33	4