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KuPS vs Mariehamn

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KuPS in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored KuPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
KuPS
30%
Draws
23%
Mariehamn
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: KuPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Mariehamn haven't matched KuPS's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans KuPS's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
KuPS Clean Sheet 20%
Mariehamn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KuPS Mariehamn
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 15 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.47 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn vs KuPS
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Club Friendly
KuPS vs Mariehamn
2:0
Jun 18, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn vs KuPS
1:0
Apr 23, 2025 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs Mariehamn
4:1
Aug 25, 2024 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs Mariehamn
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS 67 / 100
Mariehamn 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KuPS Mariehamn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KuPS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mariehamn conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: KuPS scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

KuPS has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KuPS VS Mariehamn
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KuPS

(Home)
16 Aug
Lahti
1 : 2
KuPS
13 Aug
Univ. Craiova
2 : 1
KuPS
09 Aug
KuPS
1 : 1
TPS
06 Aug
KuPS
1 : 1
Univ. Craiova
01 Aug
Gnistan
0 : 1
KuPS
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Mariehamn

(Away)
15 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0
SJK
09 Aug
Ilves
2 : 0
Mariehamn
01 Aug
TPS
3 : 0
Mariehamn
25 Jul
Mariehamn
1 : 1
AC Oulu
20 Jul
Mariehamn
0 : 2
Lahti
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