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KuPS W vs PK-35 Helsinki W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women 2025 Valio Areena, Lapinlahti
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Rochi G.
Assist: Kroger A.
35' Event
Gronberg M.
Assist: Bethea L.
38' Event
Nurmi A.
Assist: Kroger A.

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women 2025 game between KuPS W and PK-35 Helsinki W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KuPS W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
KuPS W
30%
Draws
39%
PK-35 Helsinki W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PK-35 Helsinki W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KuPS W come out ahead of PK-35 Helsinki W on wins alone.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • KuPS W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 20%
PK-35 Helsinki W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KuPS W PK-35 Helsinki W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.09 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs PK-35 Helsinki W
3:1
May 9, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
PK-35 Helsinki W vs KuPS W
0:2
Jul 27, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs PK-35 Helsinki W
1:1
May 3, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
PK-35 Helsinki W vs KuPS W
1:2
Aug 1, 2023 Kansallinen Liiga Women
PK-35 Helsinki W vs KuPS W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KuPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rochi G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nurmi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

PK-35 Helsinki W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gronberg M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS W 31 / 100
PK-35 Helsinki W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KuPS W PK-35 Helsinki W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KuPS W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KuPS W scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: PK-35 Helsinki W conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: KuPS W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KuPS W VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

KuPS W

(Home)
03 Oct
Ilves W
3 : 3
KuPS W
26 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
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PK-35 Helsinki W

(Away)
18 Oct
Ilves W
3 : 1
PK-35 Helsinki W
11 Oct
PK-35 Helsinki W
4 : 2
JyPK W
04 Oct
PK-35 Helsinki W
1 : 0
HJK Akatemia W
28 Sept
EBK W
1 : 2
PK-35 Helsinki W
24 Sept
KTP W
1 : 1
PK-35 Helsinki W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 1 0 48:5 40
2 Aland United W 14 8 3 3 27:23 27
3 KuPS W 14 8 2 4 25:13 26
4 HPS W 14 8 1 5 37:23 25
5 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 5 2 7 24:22 17
6 VIFK Vaasa W 14 3 4 7 14:41 13
7 JyPK W 14 1 2 11 12:44 5
8 PK-35 Helsinki W 14 1 3 10 10:26 4
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women 2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women 2025 (Relegation Group)