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Kuressaare U21 vs Legion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare
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Match Events

6' Event
Jakovenko A.
11'
Lonks J.
24' Event
Jakovenko A.

AI Match Summary

Legion in this Esiliiga B 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Legion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Kuressaare U21
15%
Draws
85%
Legion
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Legion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Legion have won more games recently than Kuressaare U21.
  • Win probability leans Kuressaare U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Legion have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kuressaare U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kuressaare U21 Legion
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 5
Draws 1 3
Losses 25 24
Goals Scored 0.97 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.93 3.44
Expected Goals (xG) 2.60 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Kuressaare U21
0:3
Sep 18, 2025 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Legion
1:6
May 11, 2025 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Kuressaare U21
2:0
Apr 13, 2025 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Legion
3:4
Oct 5, 2024 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Legion
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kuressaare U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Opp M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2
Avg xA / game 1.3

Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakovenko A.
5 Goals
Assists Leader Nosach C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuressaare U21 85 / 100
Legion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kuressaare U21 Legion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kuressaare U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legion let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Kuressaare U21's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Legion lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Legion
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 4
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kuressaare U21

(Home)
09 Nov
Kuressaare U21
1 : 2
Maardu Linnameeskond
02 Nov
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 0
Kuressaare U21
27 Oct
Kuressaare U21
1 : 4
Nomme Utd U21
23 Oct
Kuressaare U21
0 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21
19 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
4 : 2
Kuressaare U21
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Legion

(Away)
03 Oct
Legion
0 : 3
Levadia U19
26 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Narva U21
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
10 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Tartu Kalev
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 28 5 3 116:39 89
2 Nomme Utd U21 36 23 3 10 93:53 72
3 Johvi Phoenix 36 21 5 10 95:61 68
4 Narva U21 36 21 3 12 87:53 66
5 Tartu Kalev 36 19 4 13 81:53 61
6 Tabasalu 36 13 8 15 60:67 47
7 Legion 36 13 5 18 66:94 44
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 11 8 17 65:71 41
9 Kuressaare U21 36 6 1 29 40:105 19
10 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 3 2 31 33:140 11
Promotion - Esiliiga (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2025 (Relegation)