Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 7-0, with Kuressaare advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ambla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Ambla haven't matched Kuressaare's recent run of results.
- Model gives Kuressaare a 34% chance of winning this.
- Kuressaare have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Kuressaare, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 18%
Ambla Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kuressaare | Ambla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 12 |
| Wins | 12 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 5.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 3, 2011 Estonian Cup
Kuressaare vs Ambla
7:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kuressaare 85 / 100
Ambla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kuressaare Ambla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kuressaare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ambla has conceded goals in 83% of their last 12 outings.
H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.
Kuressaare found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).
Away concern: Ambla has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Kuressaare VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Kuressaare
(Home) 13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3 Tammeka Tartu
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0 Kuressaare
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1 Narva
29 Aug
Kuressaare
2 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
22 Aug
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 0 Kuressaare
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3 Tammeka Tartu
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1 Narva
29 Aug
Kuressaare
2 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
07 Aug
Kuressaare
3 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
23 Jul
Kuressaare
5 : 1 Tartu JK Welco 2
Page 1 of 4
Ambla
(Away) 18 Jul
Ambla
1 : 6 Viimsi JK
12 Jun
Mulgi
1 : 2 Ambla
26 Jul
Ambla
1 : 4 Laanemaa Haapsalu
24 Jul
Ambla
2 : 5 Torva JK
07 Jun
Castovanni Eagles 2
0 : 4 Ambla
Page 1 of 3
12 Jun
Mulgi
1 : 2 Ambla
07 Jun
Castovanni Eagles 2
0 : 4 Ambla
11 Aug
Rakvere
10 : 0 Ambla
13 Aug
Kalju
18 : 0 Ambla
10 Jul
FCI Tallinn II
8 : 1 Ambla
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Paide Linnameeskond -
TBD -
TBD -
Tabasalu II -
SK Taaksi -
TBD -
TBD -
Kivioli Irbis -
Voru -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallina Mercury -
Tammeka Tartu II 5
Valga Warrior 1
TBD -
Sillamae Kalev -
Saaremaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Saku Sporting -
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
TBD -
Leisi -
Soccernet -
TBD -
Warrior Valga II 2
Akhtamar 4
Quattromed -
TBD -
Reaal 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 9
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Pokkeriprod -
Olympic Tallinn 6
FC KIIU 1
Otepaa II 0
Raasiku Joker 5
Tartu JK Welco 1
Tallinna Kalev III 0
TBD -
Loo JK -
Ambla -
TBD -
Lasnamae 0
Kuressaare 6
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Kose 0
TBD -
Rapla -
Jogeva 2
Saue JK Laagri 1
JK Luunja 0
Elva 1
Navi Vutiselts -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Visadus -
Legion -
TBD -
Tartu SK 10 2
Narva 4
Levadia 8
Kohtla-Jarve Lootus 0
Kalju III 0
Kalju 14
Kristiine -
TBD -
Haiba 0
FCI Tallinn 8
Otepaa 9
SK EPMU Tartu 1
TBD -
Metropool Parnu -
Tapa 2
Igiliikur 1
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS 2
Tallinna Kalev 10
Paide Linnameeskond U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sorve -
Ulikool Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Ganvix Turi -
FC Ararat 3
Tulevik 1
TBD -
Castovanni Eagles -
Premium Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Viljandi 7
Kaitseliit 2
Tabivere 1
Rada Kuusalu 2
Vastseliina Tannem -
TBD -
Toompea 1994 1
Johvi Phoenix 12
Keila JK 3
Nomme Utd 1
Twister Tallinn 1
Tabasalu 9
Eston Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakvere -
FC Lootos Polva -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev II 1
Jarva-Jaani 4
Kaitseliit II -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju II -
Puuma -
TBD -
TBD -
Kardla -
Lelle 2
Viimsi JK 1
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Flora 17
1/32-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 8
Tabasalu II 0
SK Taaksi 1
Kivioli Irbis 8
Voru 5
Tallina Mercury 0
Tammeka Tartu II 0
Sillamae Kalev 6
Saaremaa -
Saku Sporting -
Tallinn Piraaja 2
Leisi 3
Soccernet 4
Akhtamar 3
Quattromed 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 5
Tammeka Tartu 24
Pokkeriprod 0
Olympic Tallinn 0
Raasiku Joker 3
Tartu JK Welco 5
Loo JK 2
Ambla 0
Kuressaare 7
Maardu Linnameeskond 4
Rapla 0
Jogeva 2
Elva 2
Navi Vutiselts 2
JK Visadus 0
Legion 0
Narva 7
Levadia 2
Kalju 1
Kristiine 0
FCI Tallinn 9
Otepaa 3
Metropool Parnu 0
Tapa 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Paide Linnameeskond U21 1
Sorve 0
Ulikool Tallinn 2
Ganvix Turi 3
FC Ararat 3
Castovanni Eagles 2
Premium Tartu 0
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Viljandi 3
Rada Kuusalu 0
Vastseliina Tannem 1
Johvi Phoenix 9
Keila JK -
Tabasalu -
Eston Villa 0
Rakvere 5
FC Lootos Polva 6
Jarva-Jaani 1
Kaitseliit II 1
Kalju II 10
Puuma 3
Kardla 1
Lelle 0
Flora 13
1/16-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Kivioli Irbis 1
Voru 0
Sillamae Kalev 8
Saaremaa 1
Leisi 0
Soccernet 0
Parnu Linnameeskond 13
Tammeka Tartu 4
Raasiku Joker 1
Tartu JK Welco 1
Kuressaare 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Elva 1
Navi Vutiselts 0
Narva 9
Levadia 5
FCI Tallinn 0
Otepaa 0
Tallinna Kalev 7
Paide Linnameeskond U21 3
Ganvix Turi 2
FC Ararat 1
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Viljandi 3
Johvi Phoenix 0
Keila JK 2
Rakvere 5
FC Lootos Polva 5
Kalju II 4
Puuma 1
Flora 4
1/8-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Sillamae Kalev 3
Saaremaa 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
Tammeka Tartu 7
Kuressaare 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Narva 6
Levadia 4
Tallinna Kalev 1
Paide Linnameeskond U21 0
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Viljandi 2
Rakvere 1
FC Lootos Polva 0
Flora 9
Quarter-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Parnu Linnameeskond 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Narva 2
Levadia 2
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Viljandi 0
Flora 3
Semi-finals
Levadia 1
Flora 0
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Narva 1
Final
Levadia 3
Narva 0
