Sport Picks
Kuressaare vs Vaatsa Vald - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2014/2015 Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare 
Match Events
31'
31'
Laht S.
35'
35'
Koppel T.
57'
57'
Suursaar M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 7-0, with Kuressaare advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kuressaare
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Vaatsa Vald haven't matched Kuressaare's recent run of results.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Vaatsa Vald taking it.
- Kuressaare have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Kuressaare, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 20%
Vaatsa Vald Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kuressaare | Vaatsa Vald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 9 |
| Wins | 12 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 2.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 26, 2016 Estonian Cup
Kuressaare vs Vaatsa Vald
0:0
Jun 7, 2014 Estonian Cup
Kuressaare vs Vaatsa Vald
7:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kuressaare Compare
Top Goalscorer Suursaar M.
5 Goals Assists Leader Laht S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Vaatsa Vald Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kuressaare 24 / 100
Vaatsa Vald 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kuressaare Vaatsa Vald
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vaatsa Vald Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vaatsa Vald has conceded goals in 88% of their last 8 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Kuressaare scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Kuressaare remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Kuressaare VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Kuressaare
(Home) 03 Oct
Kuressaare
4 : 2 Saku Sporting
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0 Kuressaare
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3 Tammeka Tartu
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0 Kuressaare
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1 Narva
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Kuressaare
4 : 2 Saku Sporting
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3 Tammeka Tartu
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1 Narva
29 Aug
Kuressaare
2 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
07 Aug
Kuressaare
3 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
Page 1 of 4
Vaatsa Vald
(Away) 21 Jun
Vaatsa Vald
0 : 1 SK Taaksi
26 Jun
Kuressaare
: Vaatsa Vald
21 Oct
Tallinn Forza
6 : 2 Vaatsa Vald
08 Sept
Tabivere
4 : 7 Vaatsa Vald
26 Jul
Vaatsa Vald
3 : 0 Maardu Starbunker II
Page 1 of 2
26 Jun
Kuressaare
: Vaatsa Vald
21 Oct
Tallinn Forza
6 : 2 Vaatsa Vald
08 Sept
Tabivere
4 : 7 Vaatsa Vald
28 Jun
Reaal
1 : 2 Vaatsa Vald
07 Jun
Kuressaare
7 : 0 Vaatsa Vald
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 5
Santos Tartu 4
Rapla Lokomotiiv 0
Narva United 2
Rada Kuusalu 9
Tartu Ulikool 0
SK EPMU Tartu 2
Tammeka Tartu 5
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tapa -
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 5
Lootos FCR 2
Virtsu 1
Igiliikur 5
Retro 5
Tallinn Piraaja 1
TBD -
Valga Warrior -
Rapla -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 0
FC Tartu 4
Tabasalu 3
JK Jalgpallihaigla 2
Kadakas 0
Kaitseliit 2
Nomme Utd 10
Anija 0
Lelle 1
Ulikool Tallinn 5
FCI Tallinn II 7
Paidelona 0
TBD -
Elva -
Otepaa -
TBD -
Castovanni Eagles 0
Rakvere 3
Metropool Parnu 9
Haiba 0
Fellin 1
Raasiku Valla 2
Ulikool Tallinn II -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Ararat -
Kivioli Irbis -
TBD -
Loo JK 1
Saku Sporting 3
Reaal -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu 1
SK Taaksi 2
Keila JK 12
Somnium 1
TBD -
Puuma -
Tartu Tehased 4
Twister Tallinn 1
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora 7
Tulevik 0
TBD -
JK Visadus -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
Kose -
Levadia -
TBD -
Aseri Askele 1
Tallinna Kalev II 6
Imavere Forss 6
Helios 1
Eston Villa 1
Saue JK Laagri 2
FCI Tallinn 16
JK Poseidon 0
Viimsi Ehitus 2
Raasiku Joker 8
Soccernet -
TBD -
Pirita 0
Voru 1
Tallinna Dnipro -
Vutihoolikud -
Shnelli 0
Maardu United 8
Viimsi MRJK 6
Jarva-Jaani 1
Narva 1
Sillamae Kalev 3
Johvi Phoenix -
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS -
Tartu Taara 0
Vandra Vaprus 8
IAFA Estonia -
TBD -
Raudne Rusikas 2
Tallinna Kalev III 3
Jogeva -
TBD -
TBD -
Lasnamae -
Navi Vutiselts -
TBD -
Parnu Linnameeskond 3
Tallinna Kalev 4
Maardu Linnameeskond 8
Tallinna Depoo 3
Olympic Tallinn 0
Viimsi JK 5
Torva JK 6
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Kohtla-Nomme 2
Ganvix Turi 11
Kuressaare 7
Vaatsa Vald 0
Oismae Torm 1
Merkuur Tartu 10
Ambla -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
1/32-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Narva United 1
Rada Kuusalu 1
Tammeka Tartu 4
Flora U19 4
Tapa 0
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 0
Igiliikur 2
Retro 9
Valga Warrior 2
Rapla 1
FC Tartu 8
Tabasalu 3
Kaitseliit 0
Nomme Utd 2
Ulikool Tallinn 9
FCI Tallinn II 3
Elva 2
Otepaa 0
Rakvere 2
Metropool Parnu 3
Raasiku Valla 1
Ulikool Tallinn II 0
FC Ararat 5
Kivioli Irbis 15
Saku Sporting 0
Reaal 2
SK Taaksi 4
Keila JK 2
Puuma 1
Tartu Tehased 0
Paide Linnameeskond 17
Flora 5
JK Visadus 0
Tartu JK Welco 0
Kose 1
Levadia 19
Tallinna Kalev II 0
Imavere Forss 1
Saue JK Laagri 3
FCI Tallinn 2
Raasiku Joker 0
Soccernet 2
Voru 5
Tallinna Dnipro 2
Maardu United 0
Viimsi MRJK 0
Sillamae Kalev 11
Johvi Phoenix 2
Vandra Vaprus 1
IAFA Estonia -
Tallinna Kalev III -
Jogeva -
Lasnamae -
Navi Vutiselts 0
Tallinna Kalev 3
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Viimsi JK 1
Torva JK 1
Ganvix Turi 4
Kuressaare 4
Merkuur Tartu 0
Ambla 0
Kalju 18
1/16-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Tammeka Tartu 1
Flora U19 2
Igiliikur 3
Retro 5
FC Tartu 2
Tabasalu 2
Ulikool Tallinn 11
FCI Tallinn II 2
Rakvere 1
Metropool Parnu 3
FC Ararat 4
Kivioli Irbis 7
SK Taaksi 3
Keila JK 0
Paide Linnameeskond 6
Flora 13
Kose 0
Levadia -
Saue JK Laagri -
FCI Tallinn 11
Voru 0
Tallinna Dnipro 0
Sillamae Kalev 13
Johvi Phoenix 3
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Jogeva 0
Tallinna Kalev 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 5
Ganvix Turi 1
Kuressaare 0
Kalju 4
1/8-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 9
Igiliikur 0
Retro 3
Ulikool Tallinn 4
FCI Tallinn II 3
FC Ararat 0
Kivioli Irbis -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora 11
Saue JK Laagri 0
FCI Tallinn 0
Sillamae Kalev 1
Johvi Phoenix 3
Tallinna Kalev 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Kalju 4
Quarter-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 5
Ulikool Tallinn 3
FCI Tallinn II 0
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Flora 2
Sillamae Kalev 1
Johvi Phoenix 3
Kalju 5
Semi-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Flora 1
Kalju 2
Final
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Kalju 2
