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Kurilovec vs Trnje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trnje in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trnje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Kurilovec
15%
Draws
37%
Trnje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kurilovec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Kurilovec haven't matched Trnje's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kurilovec a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Kurilovec Clean Sheet 68%
Trnje Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kurilovec Trnje
Matches Played 33 39
Wins 10 17
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.76 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2022 3. HNL Center
Kurilovec vs Trnje
1:2
Sep 26, 2021 3. HNL Center
Trnje vs Kurilovec
1:2
Apr 21, 2021 3. HNL Center
Kurilovec vs Trnje
0:1
Sep 27, 2020 3. HNL Center
Trnje vs Kurilovec
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kurilovec 95 / 100
Trnje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kurilovec Trnje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kurilovec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kurilovec scored in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Trnje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 39 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Kurilovec remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kurilovec VS Trnje
0 Goals Scored 1.38
4 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kurilovec

(Home)
01 Aug
Kurilovec
0 : 4
Bjelovar
04 Mar
Din. Zagreb
2 : 0
Kurilovec
05 Nov
Kurilovec
2 : 1
Istra 1961
10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0
Oriolik
27 Aug
Zemunik
2 : 12
Kurilovec
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Trnje

(Away)
03 Oct
Trnje
2 : 0
Uljanik Pula
26 Sept
Solin
3 : 1
Trnje
19 Sept
Trnje
0 : 1
Dragovoljac
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
05 Sept
Trnje
1 : 0
NK Koprivnica
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)