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Kurilovec vs Zagorec Krapina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zagorec Krapina in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zagorec Krapina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kurilovec
15%
Draws
34%
Zagorec Krapina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kurilovec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Zagorec Krapina have won more games recently than Kurilovec.
  • Kurilovec are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Zagorec Krapina have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kurilovec Clean Sheet 14%
Zagorec Krapina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kurilovec Zagorec Krapina
Matches Played 33 37
Wins 10 16
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.76 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2022 3. HNL Center
Kurilovec vs Zagorec Krapina
0:1
Oct 6, 2021 3. HNL Center
Zagorec Krapina vs Kurilovec
3:0
May 26, 2021 3. HNL Center
Zagorec Krapina vs Kurilovec
5:0
Nov 7, 2020 3. HNL Center
Kurilovec vs Zagorec Krapina
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kurilovec 84 / 100
Zagorec Krapina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kurilovec Zagorec Krapina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kurilovec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Kurilovec scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Zagorec Krapina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 37 matches.

Solid form: Kurilovec remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kurilovec VS Zagorec Krapina
3.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
83% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kurilovec

(Home)
01 Aug
Kurilovec
0 : 4
Bjelovar
04 Mar
Din. Zagreb
2 : 0
Kurilovec
05 Nov
Kurilovec
2 : 1
Istra 1961
10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0
Oriolik
27 Aug
Zemunik
2 : 12
Kurilovec
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Zagorec Krapina

(Away)
08 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 5
Istra 1961
26 Aug
Granicar Kotoriba
1 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
14 Aug
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
31 Jul
Segesta
4 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
27 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 2
HNK Gorica
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)