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Kursiai Neringa vs Svyturys Marijampole - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2013/2014
Thu, Aug 15, 2013
2 - 3
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Svyturys Marijampole in this Lithuanian Cup 2013/2014 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kursiai Neringa
15%
Draws
42%
Svyturys Marijampole
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kursiai Neringa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Svyturys Marijampole lately — more wins on the board than Kursiai Neringa.
  • Model gives Kursiai Neringa a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Svyturys Marijampole arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Svyturys Marijampole, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Kursiai Neringa Clean Sheet 10%
Svyturys Marijampole Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kursiai Neringa Svyturys Marijampole
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 0
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.47 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2013 Lithuanian Cup
Kursiai Neringa vs Svyturys Marijampole
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kursiai Neringa 83 / 100
Svyturys Marijampole 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kursiai Neringa Svyturys Marijampole

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kursiai Neringa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Svyturys Marijampole let in goals in 89% of their last 18 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Svyturys Marijampole lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Kursiai Neringa scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kursiai Neringa VS Svyturys Marijampole
2 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kursiai Neringa

(Home)
18 Jun
Kursiai Neringa
1 : 3
Palanga
15 Aug
Kursiai Neringa
2 : 3
Svyturys Marijampole
15 Jun
Gelezinis Vilkas
0 : 3
Kursiai Neringa
29 Oct
Kursiai Neringa
3 : 0
Vilkmerge Ukmerge
23 Oct
Kursiai Neringa
1 : 2
Gelezinis Vilkas
Page 1 of 6

Svyturys Marijampole

(Away)
25 May
Svyturys Marijampole
0 : 2
Riteriai
20 Aug
Svyturys Marijampole
1 : 10
Suduva
05 Jul
Svyturys Marijampole
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
12 Jun
Krusa Basica Vilnius
1 : 3
Svyturys Marijampole
25 Aug
Svyturys Marijampole
0 : 2
FBK Kaunas
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Riteriai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Suduva -
Polonija Vilnius -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kaunas United 4
Katastrofa Vilnius 1
Centras Alytus 0
Savanoris 3
Svyturys Marijampole 6
Pipirini Rokiskis 2
Gelezinis Vilkas 0
Kursiai Neringa 3
Marijampole City 7
Pietu IV Vilnius 0
Saned Joniskis 0
MRU TiuMenas 3
Kruoja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KUPSC Siauliai 10
Sarema Klaipeda 5
Kupiskis 2
Rytas Vilnius 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Palanga -
Atlantas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalgiris -
Banga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saulininkas Siauliai 5
Prelegentai Vilnius 0
SFK Rotalis 0
Medelyno Begiai 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tauras Taurage -
Nevezis Kedainiai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jonava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dainava Alytus -
Siauliai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ekranas -
TAIP Vilnius 10
FK Minija 2
Sakuona Plikiai 1
FK Panevezys 2
FBK Kaunas 5
Jambo Klaipeda 1
Trivartis Vilnius 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 6
Silute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gariunai Vilnius 5
Adiada Siauliai 0
Kursenai 1
Granitas Klaipeda 7
1/32-finals
Riteriai -
TBD -
TBD -
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Suduva -
Polonija Vilnius -
TBD -
Kaunas United 0
Savanoris 2
Svyturys Marijampole 3
Kursiai Neringa 2
Marijampole City 1
MRU TiuMenas 4
Kruoja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KUPSC Siauliai 10
Rytas Vilnius 0
TBD -
Palanga -
Atlantas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalgiris -
Banga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saulininkas Siauliai 3
Medelyno Begiai 1
TBD -
Tauras Taurage -
Nevezis Kedainiai -
TBD -
TBD -
Jonava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dainava Alytus -
Siauliai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ekranas -
TAIP Vilnius 4
FK Panevezys 0
FBK Kaunas 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Silute -
TBD -
Gariunai Vilnius 0
Granitas Klaipeda 1
1/16-finals
Riteriai 3
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis 0
TBD -
Suduva -
Polonija Vilnius 4
Savanoris 2
Svyturys Marijampole 1
MRU TiuMenas 5
Kruoja -
TBD -
KUPSC Siauliai 0
Palanga 5
Atlantas -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalgiris -
Banga -
TBD -
Saulininkas Siauliai 1
Tauras Taurage 4
Nevezis Kedainiai 6
Jonava 0
TBD -
Dainava Alytus -
Siauliai -
TBD -
TBD -
Ekranas -
TAIP Vilnius 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 0
Silute 0
Granitas Klaipeda 3
1/8-finals
Riteriai 2
Suduva 1
Polonija Vilnius 3
MRU TiuMenas 4
Kruoja 4
Palanga 1
Atlantas 1
Zalgiris 2
Banga 2
Tauras Taurage 0
Nevezis Kedainiai 4
Dainava Alytus 5
Siauliai 1
Ekranas 0
TAIP Vilnius 1
Granitas Klaipeda 2
Quarter-finals
Riteriai 6
MRU TiuMenas 2
Kruoja 2
Zalgiris 4
Banga 5
Dainava Alytus 2
Siauliai 1
Granitas Klaipeda 1
Semi-finals
Riteriai 0
Zalgiris 1
Banga 3
Granitas Klaipeda 1
Final
Zalgiris 2
Banga 1