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Kursk vs Penza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Borisov S.

AI Match Summary

Kursk in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kursk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Kursk
35%
Draws
19%
Penza
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kursk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Kursk at 1.21 per game, Penza at 1.07.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Kursk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kursk here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Kursk Clean Sheet 19%
Penza Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kursk Penza
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.21 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kursk vs Penza
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Kursk
0:1
Oct 10, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 3
Penza vs Kursk
3:1
Aug 1, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 3
Kursk vs Penza
4:0
May 14, 2017 FNL 2 - Group 3
Penza vs Kursk
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kursk Compare

Top Goalscorer Borisov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Penza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kursk 40 / 100
Penza 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kursk Penza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kursk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kursk found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Penza conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Kursk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kursk VS Penza
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kursk

(Home)
04 Oct
Ryazan
4 : 0
Kursk
26 Sept
Kursk
1 : 1
R. Volgograd 2
21 Sept
Kvant Obninsk
1 : 1
Kursk
12 Sept
Kursk
1 : 3
Salyut-Belgorod
05 Sept
Kursk
3 : 2
FC Oryol
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Penza

(Away)
03 Oct
M. Lipetsk
2 : 0
Penza
30 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 0
Penza
26 Sept
Penza
1 : 1
Saturn Ramenskoye
19 Sept
Penza
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Sept
Strogino Moscow
3 : 0
Penza
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